CD Marathon vs Alianza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alianza travel to face CD Marathon on Wednesday 21 October in the Concacaf Central American Cup, with Estadio Yankel Rosenthal the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT.
Current form
CD Marathon, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Olancho, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Alianza, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cacahuatique, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Aug 2026) it ended CD Marathon 0–1 Alianza.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Marathon 1.2 xG, Alianza 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Marathon 42%, draw 23%, Alianza 35%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Marathon 1–1 Alianza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Marathon42%fair 2.39 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.00
Alianza35%fair 2.86 · @2.62
2.25Expected goals
1.19CD Marathon xG
1.06Alianza xG
57%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: CD Marathon 1.2 – 1.1 Alianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Marathon vs Alianza?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win CD Marathon vs Alianza?
On our numbers CD Marathon have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alianza 35%.
How many goals will there be in CD Marathon vs Alianza?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Marathon vs Alianza?
Our predicted score is CD Marathon 1–1 Alianza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is CD Marathon vs Alianza?
CD Marathon vs Alianza (Concacaf Central American Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
