CD Motagua vs LD Alajuelense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 23 October the Concacaf Central American Cup brings CD Motagua against LD Alajuelense at Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT.
Current form
CD Motagua, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Platense FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
LD Alajuelense, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Inter San Carlos, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Motagua 1.3 xG, LD Alajuelense 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Motagua 38%, draw 25%, LD Alajuelense 37%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Motagua 1–1 LD Alajuelense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Motagua38%fair 2.62 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.80
LD Alajuelense37%fair 2.69 · @2.70
2.58Expected goals
1.30CD Motagua xG
1.28LD Alajuelense xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 1.3 – 1.3 LD Alajuelense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Motagua to win✗
38%
2.62
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.85
Draw no bet
CD Motagua (draw no bet)
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
LD Alajuelense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
CD Motagua to score first✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Motagua / FT CD Motagua✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.20
–
Recent results
CD Motagua – last 6
WWLDWW
17 Oct
@ Platense FC
2–0
W
11 Oct
vs Atlético Choloma
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Real Espana
0–1
L
17 Sep
@ Alianza
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Génesis
1–0
W
10 Sep
vs Alianza
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
LD Alajuelense – last 6
WDDWWL
18 Oct
@ Inter San Carlos
3–2
W
15 Oct
vs CS Herediano
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Puntarenas FC
1–1
D
21 Sep
vs Inter San Carlos
5–0
W
18 Sep
vs CD Marathon
3–1
W
14 Sep
@ CS Cartagines
1–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CD Motagua and LD Alajuelense.
What is the prediction for CD Motagua vs LD Alajuelense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win CD Motagua vs LD Alajuelense?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and LD Alajuelense 37%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs LD Alajuelense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs LD Alajuelense?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 1–1 LD Alajuelense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs LD Alajuelense?
CD Motagua vs LD Alajuelense (Concacaf Central American Cup) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
