Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: LD Alajuelense to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLD Alajuelense to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceLD Alajuelense or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.54
LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
LD Alajuelense welcome CD Motagua to Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto for a Concacaf Central American Cup fixture on Friday 30 October (03:00 WAT).
Current form
LD Alajuelense, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Perez Zeledon, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
CD Motagua, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Juticalpa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Oct 2026) it ended CD Motagua 0–0 LD Alajuelense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give LD Alajuelense 1.6 xG, CD Motagua 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – LD Alajuelense 59%, draw 25%, CD Motagua 15%.
Lower-risk option: LD Alajuelense or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: LD Alajuelense to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was LD Alajuelense or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: LD Alajuelense 1–0 CD Motagua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
LD Alajuelense59%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.00
CD Motagua15%fair 6.60 · @3.90
2.21Expected goals
1.56LD Alajuelense xG
0.65CD Motagua xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: LD Alajuelense 1.6 – 0.6 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua?
Our pick is LD Alajuelense or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers LD Alajuelense have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and CD Motagua 15%.
How many goals will there be in LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is LD Alajuelense 1–0 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua?
LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua (Concacaf Central American Cup) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
