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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alianza v CD Marathon: numbers & prediction

Concacaf Central American Cup · World · Estadio Cuscatlan

Alianza

WLDDL
0–0
FT

CD Marathon

DWWDL
Alianza 31%Draw 23%CD Marathon 45% Expected goals 1.04 – 1.32
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultCD Marathon to win ✗45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.67

Alianza vs CD Marathon: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CD Marathon travel to face Alianza on Wednesday 28 October in the Concacaf Central American Cup, with Estadio Cuscatlan the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT.

Current form

Alianza, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Isidro Metapán, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

CD Marathon, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Atletico Independiente, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Oct 2026) it ended CD Marathon 2–1 Alianza. The last 2 head-to-heads: Alianza 1 win, CD Marathon 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alianza 1.0 xG, CD Marathon 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza 31%, draw 23%, CD Marathon 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza 1–1 CD Marathon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alianza31%fair 3.20 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
CD Marathon45%fair 2.21 · @2.15
2.36Expected goals
1.04Alianza xG
1.32CD Marathon xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%

From our goals model: Alianza 1.0 – 1.3 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCD Marathon to win ✗45%2.212.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.311.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.901.85
Draw no betCD Marathon (draw no bet)59%1.69–
Asian handicapAlianza +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreCD Marathon to score first ✗51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT CD Marathon / FT CD Marathon ✗25%3.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.67–

Recent results

Alianza – last 6

WLDDLD
25 Octvs Isidro Metapán1–0W
21 Oct@ CD Marathon1–2L
17 Oct@ Cacahuatique0–0D
12 Octvs Inter2–2D
9 Oct@ FAS1–2L
4 Octvs Firpo2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

CD Marathon – last 6

DWWDLL
25 Oct@ Atletico Independiente2–2D
21 Octvs Alianza2–1W
16 Octvs Olancho2–1W
11 Oct@ Lobos Upnfm0–0D
20 Sep@ Juticalpa2–3L
18 Sep@ LD Alajuelense1–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Oct 2026CD Marathon v Alianza2–1
20 Aug 2026CD Marathon v Alianza0–1
Alianza vs CD Marathon head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza vs CD Marathon?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Alianza vs CD Marathon?

On our numbers Alianza have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CD Marathon 45%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza vs CD Marathon?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alianza vs CD Marathon?

Our predicted score is Alianza 1–1 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Alianza vs CD Marathon?

Alianza vs CD Marathon (Concacaf Central American Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cuscatlan.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.