Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Independiente F.b.c. to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBenjamín Aceval to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.95
Benjamín Aceval vs Independiente F.b.c.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Independiente F.b.c. travel to face Benjamín Aceval on Tuesday 6 October in the Division Intermedia, with Estadio Arsenio Erico the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Benjamín Aceval are 9th, lower half, on 42 points after 30 matches; Independiente F.b.c. are 6th (upper half) with 43. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Benjamín Aceval, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tacuary, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Independiente F.b.c., last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Nacional Asuncion, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Independiente F.b.c., collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Benjamín Aceval.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Jun 2026) it ended Independiente F.b.c. 1–2 Benjamín Aceval.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Benjamín Aceval 1.4 xG, Independiente F.b.c. 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Benjamín Aceval 39%, draw 23%, Independiente F.b.c. 38%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Independiente F.b.c. to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Benjamín Aceval 1–1 Independiente F.b.c.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Benjamín Aceval39%fair 2.56 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Independiente F.b.c.38%fair 2.63 · @2.90
2.73Expected goals
1.38Benjamín Aceval xG
1.35Independiente F.b.c. xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Benjamín Aceval 1.4 – 1.4 Independiente F.b.c. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Benjamín Aceval vs Independiente F.b.c.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Benjamín Aceval vs Independiente F.b.c.?
On our numbers Benjamín Aceval have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Independiente F.b.c. 38%.
How many goals will there be in Benjamín Aceval vs Independiente F.b.c.?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benjamín Aceval vs Independiente F.b.c.?
Our predicted score is Benjamín Aceval 1–1 Independiente F.b.c., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Benjamín Aceval vs Independiente F.b.c.?
Benjamín Aceval vs Independiente F.b.c. (Division Intermedia) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arsenio Erico.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
