Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Ittihad Tanger to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIttihad Tanger to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceIttihad Tanger or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.76
Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Friday 2 October: Ittihad Tanger v Moghreb Tetouan in the Botola Pro, played at Stade Ibn Batouta. In the table, Ittihad Tanger are 7th, upper half, on 10 points after 7 matches; Moghreb Tetouan are 15th (in the drop zone) with 3.
Current form
Ittihad Tanger, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Amal Tiznit, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Moghreb Tetouan, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Renaissance Berkane, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ittihad Tanger 1.4 xG, Moghreb Tetouan 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ittihad Tanger 60%, draw 24%, Moghreb Tetouan 15%.
Lower-risk option: Ittihad Tanger or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Ittihad Tanger to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ittihad Tanger or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ittihad Tanger 1–0 Moghreb Tetouan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ittihad Tanger60%fair 1.65 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.80
Moghreb Tetouan15%fair 6.47 · @4.00
2.00Expected goals
1.45Ittihad Tanger xG
0.55Moghreb Tetouan xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–014%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Ittihad Tanger 1.4 – 0.6 Moghreb Tetouan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ittihad Tanger to win✗
60%
1.65
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Ittihad Tanger or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Ittihad Tanger (draw no bet)
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Moghreb Tetouan +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Ittihad Tanger to score first✗
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ittihad Tanger / FT Ittihad Tanger✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.76
–
Recent results
Ittihad Tanger – last 6
WWWLDL
24 Sep
@ Amal Tiznit
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Widad Témara
1–0
W
5 Jul
vs CODM Meknès
2–1
W
2 Jul
@ UTS Rabat
0–1
L
28 Jun
vs Raja Casablanca
1–1
D
25 Jun
@ Olympique Dcheïra
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Moghreb Tetouan – last 6
DWWDDD
27 Sep
vs Renaissance Berkane
0–0
D
27 Jun
@ Racing de Casablanca
2–0
W
20 Jun
vs Amal Tiznit
3–1
W
13 Jun
@ Chabab Ben Guerir
0–0
D
6 Jun
vs Wydad Fès
1–1
D
23 May
@ KAC Kenitra
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ittihad Tanger and Moghreb Tetouan.
What is the prediction for Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan?
Our pick is Ittihad Tanger or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan?
On our numbers Ittihad Tanger have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Moghreb Tetouan 15%.
How many goals will there be in Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan?
Our predicted score is Ittihad Tanger 1–0 Moghreb Tetouan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan?
Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan (Botola Pro) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Ibn Batouta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
