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São Paulo W v Corinthians W: numbers & prediction

Brasileiro Women · Brazil · Estadio do Caninde
1–1
FT
São Paulo W 36%Draw 24%Corinthians W 40% Expected goals 1.35 – 1.42
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultCorinthians W to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.69

São Paulo W vs Corinthians W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 3 October the Brasileiro Women brings São Paulo W against Corinthians W at Estadio do Caninde. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, São Paulo W are 1st, leading the league, on 41 points after 17 matches; Corinthians W are 2nd (among the top four) with 38. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

São Paulo W, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Corinthians W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Corinthians W, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to São Paulo W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours São Paulo W, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Corinthians W.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Sep 2026) it ended Corinthians W 1–2 São Paulo W. The last 2 head-to-heads: São Paulo W 1 win, Corinthians W 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give São Paulo W 1.3 xG, Corinthians W 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – São Paulo W 36%, draw 24%, Corinthians W 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: São Paulo W 1–1 Corinthians W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

São Paulo W36%fair 2.77 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.90
Corinthians W40%fair 2.51 · @2.30
2.77Expected goals
1.35São Paulo W xG
1.42Corinthians W xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%

From our goals model: São Paulo W 1.3 – 1.4 Corinthians W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCorinthians W to win ✗40%2.512.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.75
Draw no betCorinthians W (draw no bet)52%1.91–
Asian handicapSão Paulo W +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.91–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreCorinthians W to score first48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Corinthians W / FT Corinthians W ✗23%4.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.69–

Recent results

São Paulo W – last 6

WWWWDW
26 Sep@ Corinthians W2–1W
19 Sepvs Flamengo W1–0W
12 Sep@ Flamengo W3–1W
5 Sepvs Gremio W2–0W
29 Aug@ Gremio W0–0D
22 Augvs Mixto W1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Corinthians W – last 6

LWWWWL
26 Sepvs São Paulo W1–2L
22 Sepvs Bahia W1–0W
16 Sep@ Bahia W1–0W
7 Sepvs Cruzeiro W3–1W
31 Aug@ Cruzeiro W1–0W
22 Augvs Internacional RS W1–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Sep 2026Corinthians W v São Paulo W1–2
12 May 2026Corinthians W v São Paulo W2–1
São Paulo W vs Corinthians W head-to-head page →

Brasileiro Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1São Paulo W171322+2041
2Corinthians W171223+2438
3Palmeiras W171061+2136
4Ferroviaria W17872+931
5Flamengo W17863+930
6Bahia W17854+929
7Cruzeiro W17773+1128
8Gremio W17836+727
9Internacional RS W17836+427
10RB Bragantino W17827+426
11Fluminense W17755+426
12Santos W17656-123
13Atlético Mineiro W17449-816
14Mixto W17269-1712
15Juventude W172510-1311
16America Mineiro W171412-257
17Vitória BA W171412-307
18Botafogo W171214-285

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for São Paulo W vs Corinthians W?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win São Paulo W vs Corinthians W?

On our numbers São Paulo W have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Corinthians W 40%.

How many goals will there be in São Paulo W vs Corinthians W?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for São Paulo W vs Corinthians W?

Our predicted score is São Paulo W 1–1 Corinthians W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is São Paulo W vs Corinthians W?

São Paulo W vs Corinthians W (Brasileiro Women) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do Caninde.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.