União São João 43%Draw 23%Grêmio Prudente 34%Expected goals 1.21 – 1.03
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Grêmio Prudente to win @ 3.60 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUnião São João to win ✓43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.73
União São João vs Grêmio Prudente: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
União São João welcome Grêmio Prudente for a Copa Paulista fixture on Saturday 3 October (19:00 WAT).
Current form
União São João, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Grêmio Prudente, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Grêmio Prudente, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with União São João, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Grêmio Prudente, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for União São João.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Sep 2026) it ended Grêmio Prudente 0–0 União São João.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give União São João 1.2 xG, Grêmio Prudente 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – União São João 43%, draw 23%, Grêmio Prudente 34%.
Price worth noting: Grêmio Prudente to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: União São João 1–1 Grêmio Prudente. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
União São João43%fair 2.34 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Grêmio Prudente34%fair 2.96 · @3.60
2.23Expected goals
1.21União São João xG
1.03Grêmio Prudente xG
43%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: União São João 1.2 – 1.0 Grêmio Prudente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for União São João vs Grêmio Prudente?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win União São João vs Grêmio Prudente?
On our numbers União São João have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Grêmio Prudente 34%.
How many goals will there be in União São João vs Grêmio Prudente?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União São João vs Grêmio Prudente?
Our predicted score is União São João 1–1 Grêmio Prudente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is União São João vs Grêmio Prudente?
União São João vs Grêmio Prudente (Copa Paulista) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
