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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Yacoub El Mansour v Chabab Mohammédia: numbers & prediction

Botola 2 · Morocco
Yacoub El Mansour 65%Draw 23%Chabab Mohammédia 12% Expected goals 1.65 – 0.54
65%
Betarazi pick

Yacoub El Mansour to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultYacoub El Mansour to win ✓65% · @1.70
Double chanceYacoub El Mansour or draw ✓88% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.42

Yacoub El Mansour vs Chabab Mohammédia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 26 September the Botola 2 brings Yacoub El Mansour against Chabab Mohammédia. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Yacoub El Mansour are 4th, among the top four, on 14 points after 7 matches; Chabab Mohammédia are 16th (in the drop zone) with 2. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Yacoub El Mansour, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FUS Rabat, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Chabab Mohammédia, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over KAC Kenitra, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Yacoub El Mansour, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Chabab Mohammédia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Yacoub El Mansour 1.7 xG, Chabab Mohammédia 0.5 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Yacoub El Mansour 65%, draw 23%, Chabab Mohammédia 12%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Yacoub El Mansour to win (65%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yacoub El Mansour 1–0 Chabab Mohammédia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Yacoub El Mansour65%fair 1.54 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Chabab Mohammédia12%fair 8.42 · @5.00
2.19Expected goals
1.65Yacoub El Mansour xG
0.54Chabab Mohammédia xG
40%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Yacoub El Mansour 1.7 – 0.5 Chabab Mohammédia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultYacoub El Mansour to win ✓65%1.541.70 ▲
Double chanceYacoub El Mansour or draw ✓88%1.13–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓60%1.66–
Draw no betYacoub El Mansour (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapYacoub El Mansour -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.601.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreYacoub El Mansour to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Yacoub El Mansour / FT Yacoub El Mansour ✓40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.42–

Recent results

Yacoub El Mansour – last 6

WDLWWW
5 Jul@ FUS Rabat1–0W
2 Julvs Difaa EL Jadida2–2D
28 Jun@ Maghreb Fès1–2L
25 Junvs Raja Casablanca2–1W
21 Jun@ Olympique Safi1–0W
18 Junvs Hassania Agadir2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Chabab Mohammédia – last 6

WLLDLD
5 Julvs KAC Kenitra4–3W
27 Jun@ Raja Beni Mellal0–2L
20 Junvs Stade Marocain0–1L
14 Junvs Widad Témara1–1D
7 Jun@ Chabab Atl. Khenifra0–1L
23 Mayvs Riadi Salmi2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Yacoub El Mansour and Chabab Mohammédia.

Yacoub El Mansour vs Chabab Mohammédia head-to-head page →

Botola 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Wydad Fès7511+816
2Ittihad Khemisset7511+716
3Olympique Dcheïra7511+716
4Yacoub El Mansour7421+414
5Stade Marocain7412+213
6USM Oujda7331012
7Olympique Khouribga7232+49
8KAC Kenitra723209
9Olympique Safi7232-19
10El Massira7223-18
11Mouloudia Oujda7223-28
12Chabab Ben Guerir7214-17
13Riadi Salmi7124-65
14Union Sportive Boujaad7043-54
15Chabab Atl. Khenifra7115-64
16Chabab Mohammédia7025-102

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Yacoub El Mansour vs Chabab Mohammédia?

Our pick is Yacoub El Mansour to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Yacoub El Mansour vs Chabab Mohammédia?

On our numbers Yacoub El Mansour have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chabab Mohammédia 12%.

How many goals will there be in Yacoub El Mansour vs Chabab Mohammédia?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Yacoub El Mansour vs Chabab Mohammédia?

Our predicted score is Yacoub El Mansour 1–0 Chabab Mohammédia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Yacoub El Mansour vs Chabab Mohammédia?

Yacoub El Mansour vs Chabab Mohammédia (Botola 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.