Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: Ethiopia Bunna to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEthiopia Bunna to win ✗45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.68
Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Premier League brings Ethiopia Bunna against Sheger Ketema. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Ethiopia Bunna are 14th, lower half, on 4 points after 5 matches; Sheger Ketema are 12th (lower half) with 5. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ethiopia Bunna, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Welayta Dicha, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sheger Ketema, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Suhul Shire, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Apr 2026) it ended Ethiopia Bunna 1–1 Sheger Ketema.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ethiopia Bunna 1.2 xG, Sheger Ketema 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ethiopia Bunna 45%, draw 25%, Sheger Ketema 30%.
Price worth noting: Ethiopia Bunna to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ethiopia Bunna 1–0 Sheger Ketema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ethiopia Bunna45%fair 2.23 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.80
Sheger Ketema30%fair 3.29 · @2.80
2.05Expected goals
1.17Ethiopia Bunna xG
0.89Sheger Ketema xG
45%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ethiopia Bunna 1.2 – 0.9 Sheger Ketema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema?
On our numbers Ethiopia Bunna have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sheger Ketema 30%.
How many goals will there be in Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema?
Our predicted score is Ethiopia Bunna 1–0 Sheger Ketema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema?
Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
