Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Mebrat Hayl to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSheger Ketema to win ✗39% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.80
Mebrat Hayl vs Sheger Ketema: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sheger Ketema travel to face Mebrat Hayl on Tuesday 20 October in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Mebrat Hayl are 8th, upper half, on 7 points after 5 matches; Sheger Ketema are 12th (lower half) with 5. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mebrat Hayl, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Negelle Arsi, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sheger Ketema, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Adama Kenema, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Sheger Ketema 0–0 Mebrat Hayl.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mebrat Hayl 0.2 xG, Sheger Ketema 0.3 xG – a total near 0.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 99% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mebrat Hayl 33%, draw 28%, Sheger Ketema 39%.
GG/NG: NG (62%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Mebrat Hayl to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mebrat Hayl 0–0 Sheger Ketema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mebrat Hayl33%fair 3.00 · @3.20
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @2.45
Sheger Ketema39%fair 2.58 · @2.45
0.50Expected goals
0.22Mebrat Hayl xG
0.28Sheger Ketema xG
38%Both score
1%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–061%
0–117%
1–013%
1–14%
0–22%
2–01%
From our goals model: Mebrat Hayl 0.2 – 0.3 Sheger Ketema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mebrat Hayl vs Sheger Ketema?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Mebrat Hayl vs Sheger Ketema?
On our numbers Mebrat Hayl have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Sheger Ketema 39%.
How many goals will there be in Mebrat Hayl vs Sheger Ketema?
We expect about 0.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 1% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mebrat Hayl vs Sheger Ketema?
Our predicted score is Mebrat Hayl 0–0 Sheger Ketema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 0.5 goals in total.
When is Mebrat Hayl vs Sheger Ketema?
Mebrat Hayl vs Sheger Ketema (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
