Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.44
Ethiopia Bunna vs Negelle Arsi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ethiopia Bunna welcome Negelle Arsi for a Premier League fixture on Wednesday 21 October (13:00 WAT). In the table, Ethiopia Bunna are 14th, lower half, on 4 points after 5 matches; Negelle Arsi are 1st (leading the league) with 11.
Current form
Ethiopia Bunna, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kedus Giorgis, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Negelle Arsi, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mebrat Hayl, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Feb 2026) it ended Negelle Arsi 0–1 Ethiopia Bunna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ethiopia Bunna 0.8 xG, Negelle Arsi 0.7 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ethiopia Bunna 41%, draw 28%, Negelle Arsi 32%.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (57%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ethiopia Bunna 0–0 Negelle Arsi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ethiopia Bunna41%fair 2.47 · @2.50
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.45
Negelle Arsi32%fair 3.14 · @3.00
1.50Expected goals
0.82Ethiopia Bunna xG
0.68Negelle Arsi xG
43%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–022%
1–018%
0–115%
1–112%
2–08%
2–15%
From our goals model: Ethiopia Bunna 0.8 – 0.7 Negelle Arsi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ethiopia Bunna vs Negelle Arsi?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ethiopia Bunna vs Negelle Arsi?
On our numbers Ethiopia Bunna have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Negelle Arsi 32%.
How many goals will there be in Ethiopia Bunna vs Negelle Arsi?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ethiopia Bunna vs Negelle Arsi?
Our predicted score is Ethiopia Bunna 0–0 Negelle Arsi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Ethiopia Bunna vs Negelle Arsi?
Ethiopia Bunna vs Negelle Arsi (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
