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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ethiopian Medhin v Mekelakeya: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ethiopia
1–3
FT
Ethiopian Medhin 34%Draw 27%Mekelakeya 39% Expected goals 0.66 – 0.74
54%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultMekelakeya to win ✓39% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.48

Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Tuesday 27 October: Ethiopian Medhin v Mekelakeya in the Premier League. In the table, Ethiopian Medhin are 6th, upper half, on 7 points after 4 matches; Mekelakeya are 2nd (among the top four) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Ethiopian Medhin, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Awassa Kenema, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Mekelakeya, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gamo Chencha, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Mekelakeya, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Ethiopian Medhin.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Mekelakeya 1–0 Ethiopian Medhin.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ethiopian Medhin 0.7 xG, Mekelakeya 0.7 xG – a total near 1.4. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 83%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ethiopian Medhin 34%, draw 27%, Mekelakeya 39%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ethiopian Medhin 0–0 Mekelakeya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ethiopian Medhin34%fair 2.92 · @3.10
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @2.50
Mekelakeya39%fair 2.56 · @2.40
1.40Expected goals
0.66Ethiopian Medhin xG
0.74Mekelakeya xG
46%Both score
17%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–025%
0–118%
1–016%
1–112%
0–27%
2–05%

From our goals model: Ethiopian Medhin 0.7 – 0.7 Mekelakeya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMekelakeya to win ✓39%2.562.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.44 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.851.55
Draw no betMekelakeya (draw no bet) ✓53%1.88–
Asian handicapEthiopian Medhin +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗59%1.69–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗95%1.06–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓99%1.01–
First team to scoreMekelakeya to score first ✓40%2.51–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗59%1.69–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗31%3.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18%5.48–

Recent results

Ethiopian Medhin – last 6

DWLLLW
17 Oct@ Awassa Kenema1–1D
11 Oct@ Gamo Chencha2–0W
1 Jul@ Fasil Ketema0–1L
27 Junvs Suhul Shire0–3L
21 Jun@ Mekelakeya0–1L
14 Junvs Dire Dawa Kenema1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Mekelakeya – last 6

WLWDLW
22 Oct@ Gamo Chencha1–0W
18 Octvs Ethiopia Nigd Bank0–1L
11 Oct@ Awassa Kenema1–0W
3 Julvs Hadiya Hosaena0–0D
28 Jun@ Sheger Ketema0–2L
21 Junvs Ethiopian Medhin1–0W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Mekelakeya v Ethiopian Medhin1–0
Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya?

On our numbers Ethiopian Medhin have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Mekelakeya 39%.

How many goals will there be in Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya?

We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 17% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya?

Our predicted score is Ethiopian Medhin 0–0 Mekelakeya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.

When is Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya?

Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.