Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.33
Sheger Ketema vs Negelle Arsi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Friday 30 October: Sheger Ketema v Negelle Arsi in the Premier League. In the table, Sheger Ketema are 12th, lower half, on 5 points after 5 matches; Negelle Arsi are 1st (leading the league) with 11.
Current form
Sheger Ketema, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kedus Giorgis, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Negelle Arsi, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Adama Kenema, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Apr 2026) it ended Sheger Ketema 1–1 Negelle Arsi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sheger Ketema 0.7 xG, Negelle Arsi 0.8 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sheger Ketema 31%, draw 27%, Negelle Arsi 42%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (55%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sheger Ketema 0–0 Negelle Arsi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sheger Ketema31%fair 3.20 · @3.00
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @2.50
Negelle Arsi42%fair 2.38 · @2.45
1.50Expected goals
0.66Sheger Ketema xG
0.84Negelle Arsi xG
45%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–022%
0–119%
1–015%
1–112%
0–28%
1–25%
From our goals model: Sheger Ketema 0.7 – 0.8 Negelle Arsi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sheger Ketema vs Negelle Arsi?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sheger Ketema vs Negelle Arsi?
On our numbers Sheger Ketema have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Negelle Arsi 42%.
How many goals will there be in Sheger Ketema vs Negelle Arsi?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sheger Ketema vs Negelle Arsi?
Our predicted score is Sheger Ketema 0–0 Negelle Arsi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Sheger Ketema vs Negelle Arsi?
Sheger Ketema vs Negelle Arsi (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
