Indonesia 77%Draw 15%Bangladesh 8%Expected goals 1.38 – 0.12
93%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.07 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultIndonesia to win ✓77% · @1.02
Double chanceIndonesia or draw ✓92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗70% · @1.14
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗31% · fair 3.24
Indonesia vs Bangladesh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bangladesh travel to face Indonesia on Thursday 1 October in the , with Gelora Bung Karno Madya Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT.
Current form
Indonesia, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Malaysia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Bangladesh, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Singapore, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Momentum favours Indonesia, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.6 for Bangladesh.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Indonesia 1.4 xG, Bangladesh 0.1 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Indonesia 77%, draw 15%, Bangladesh 8%.
GG/NG: NG (70%) at 1.14.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (93%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Indonesia 1–0 Bangladesh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Indonesia77%fair 1.31 · @1.02
Draw15%fair 6.66 · @12.00
Bangladesh8%fair 11.84 · @56.00
1.50Expected goals
1.38Indonesia xG
0.12Bangladesh xG
30%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–031%
0–022%
2–021%
3–010%
1–14%
4–03%
From our goals model: Indonesia 1.4 – 0.1 Bangladesh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Indonesia to win✓
77%
1.31
1.02
Double chance
Indonesia or draw✓
92%
1.09
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
70%
1.43
1.14
Draw no bet
Indonesia (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Indonesia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Indonesia to score first
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Indonesia / FT Indonesia✓
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
31%
3.24
–
Recent results
Indonesia – last 6
DWDLWW
28 Sep
@ Malaysia
0–0
D
25 Sep
vs Singapore
2–0
W
7 Aug
@ Singapore
1–1
D
3 Aug
vs Vietnam
0–3
L
31 Jul
@ Timor-Leste
3–0
W
27 Jul
vs Cambodia
5–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bangladesh – last 5
LLWLL
28 Sep
@ Singapore
0–1
L
25 Sep
vs Malaysia
0–3
L
5 Jun
@ San Marino
2–1
W
31 Mar
@ Singapore
0–1
L
26 Mar
@ Vietnam
0–3
L
0.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Indonesia and Bangladesh.
What is the prediction for Indonesia vs Bangladesh?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 93% chance.
Who will win Indonesia vs Bangladesh?
On our numbers Indonesia have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Bangladesh 8%.
How many goals will there be in Indonesia vs Bangladesh?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 30% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Indonesia vs Bangladesh?
Our predicted score is Indonesia 1–0 Bangladesh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Indonesia vs Bangladesh?
Indonesia vs Bangladesh () kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Bung Karno Madya Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Malaysia6
Singapore0