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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Thailand v Philippines: numbers & prediction

· · Si Jalak Harupat Stadium

Thailand

WWDLL
1–2
FT

Philippines

DLLLW
Thailand 62%Draw 20%Philippines 18% Expected goals 1.88 – 0.87
62%
Betarazi pick

Thailand to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultThailand to win ✗62% · @1.44
Double chanceThailand or draw ✗82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18

Thailand vs Philippines: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Philippines travel to face Thailand on Friday 2 October in the , with Si Jalak Harupat Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 10:00 WAT.

Current form

Thailand, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Vietnam, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Philippines, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Pakistan, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Thailand, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Philippines.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Aug 2026) it ended Philippines 0–1 Thailand.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Thailand 1.9 xG, Philippines 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Thailand 62%, draw 20%, Philippines 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Thailand to win (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thailand 1–0 Philippines. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Thailand62%fair 1.61 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @4.20
Philippines18%fair 5.62 · @5.50
2.75Expected goals
1.88Thailand xG
0.87Philippines xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%

From our goals model: Thailand 1.9 – 0.9 Philippines expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultThailand to win ✗62%1.611.44
Double chanceThailand or draw ✗82%1.221.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.741.80
Draw no betThailand (draw no bet) ✗78%1.29–
Asian handicapThailand -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreThailand to score first ✗64%1.56–
Half-time resultThailand ahead at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Thailand / FT Thailand ✗39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

Thailand – last 6

WWDLLW
29 Sepvs Vietnam2–0W
26 Sep@ Pakistan4–0W
26 Aug@ Vietnam2–2D
22 Augvs Vietnam0–2L
18 Augvs Singapore1–2L
15 Aug@ Singapore3–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Philippines – last 6

DLLLWL
29 Sepvs Pakistan2–2D
26 Sep@ Vietnam0–1L
8 Aug@ Malaysia0–1L
4 Augvs Thailand0–1L
1 Aug@ Laos4–1W
28 Julvs Myanmar1–4L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Aug 2026Philippines v Thailand0–1
Thailand vs Philippines head-to-head page →

More predictions

FT Vietnam4 Pakistan2 172%1.05X18%8.50210%17.00 2.1–0.6xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Thailand vs Philippines?

Our pick is Thailand to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Thailand vs Philippines?

On our numbers Thailand have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Philippines 18%.

How many goals will there be in Thailand vs Philippines?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Thailand vs Philippines?

Our predicted score is Thailand 1–0 Philippines, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Thailand vs Philippines?

Thailand vs Philippines () kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Si Jalak Harupat Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.