Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.38 – our chance 58% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +38%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUS Mondorf-les-bains to win ✓70% · @1.36
Double chanceUS Mondorf-les-bains or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.74
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.54
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✓7% · fair 15.14
Mamer vs US Mondorf-les-bains: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
US Mondorf-les-bains travel to face Mamer on Sunday 8 November in the Cup – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Mamer, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Red Star Merl-Belair, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
US Mondorf-les-bains, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over US Hostert, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours US Mondorf-les-bains, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Mamer.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mamer 1.7 xG, US Mondorf-les-bains 3.6 xG – a total near 5.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mamer 12%, draw 18%, US Mondorf-les-bains 70%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.74.
Price worth noting: Over 3.5 goals @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.54 – longer than our fair 1.35, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mamer 1–3 US Mondorf-les-bains. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mamer12%fair 8.15 · @6.45
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @4.30
US Mondorf-les-bains70%fair 1.44 · @1.36
5.27Expected goals
1.71Mamer xG
3.56US Mondorf-les-bains xG
68%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–37%
1–46%
2–36%
1–26%
2–45%
2–25%
From our goals model: Mamer 1.7 – 3.6 US Mondorf-les-bains expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
US Mondorf-les-bains to win✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Double chance
US Mondorf-les-bains or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.74 ▲
Draw no bet
US Mondorf-les-bains (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
US Mondorf-les-bains -1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.54 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
2.38 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.16
First team to score
US Mondorf-les-bains to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
US Mondorf-les-bains ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT US Mondorf-les-bains / FT US Mondorf-les-bains✓
51%
1.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✓
7%
15.14
–
Recent results
Mamer – last 6
WLLWLL
20 Sep
@ Red Star Merl-Belair
4–0
W
26 Jul
@ Rodange 91
0–4
L
22 Jul
@ F91 Dudelange
0–2
L
21 Jul
vs Green Boys
2–1
W
19 Jul
vs Etzella Ettelbruck
1–2
L
4 Jul
@ Nancy
0–8
L
1.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
US Mondorf-les-bains – last 6
WLWWWL
31 Oct
vs US Hostert
2–1
W
25 Oct
@ Racing FC Union Luxembourg
0–6
L
18 Oct
vs Wiltz
4–1
W
11 Oct
@ US Rumelange
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Kischpelt Wilwerwiltz
10–1
W
16 Sep
@ Résidence Walferdange
1–2
L
3.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mamer and US Mondorf-les-bains.
What is the prediction for Mamer vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.54.
Who will win Mamer vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
On our numbers Mamer have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 18% and US Mondorf-les-bains 70%.
How many goals will there be in Mamer vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
We expect about 5.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mamer vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
Our predicted score is Mamer 1–3 US Mondorf-les-bains, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.3 goals in total.
When is Mamer vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
Mamer vs US Mondorf-les-bains (Cup) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atert Bissen1
FC Differdange 033
Mondercange3
F91 Dudelange2