Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.81
Union Comercio vs Ayacucho FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:30 WAT, Monday 12 October: Union Comercio v Ayacucho FC in the Segunda División, played at Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia. In the table, Union Comercio are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 16 matches; Ayacucho FC are 7th (in the drop zone) with 19. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union Comercio, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Minas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ayacucho FC, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Molinos El Pirata, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Comercio 1.8 xG, Ayacucho FC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 38%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Comercio 68%, draw 19%, Ayacucho FC 13%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Union Comercio to win (68%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Comercio 1–0 Ayacucho FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Comercio68%fair 1.47 · @1.42
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.90
Ayacucho FC13%fair 7.81 · @6.50
2.33Expected goals
1.76Union Comercio xG
0.56Ayacucho FC xG
38%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
3–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Union Comercio 1.8 – 0.6 Ayacucho FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Comercio to win✓
68%
1.47
1.42
Double chance
Union Comercio or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
–
Draw no bet
Union Comercio (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Union Comercio -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Union Comercio to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Union Comercio ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Comercio / FT Union Comercio✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.81
–
Recent results
Union Comercio – last 6
LWLWDD
6 Oct
@ Minas
1–4
L
27 Sep
vs Molinos El Pirata
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Deportiva Agropecuaria
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs U. San Martin
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Deportivo Llacuabamba
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Carlos A. Mannucci
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ayacucho FC – last 6
LWLLWL
6 Oct
@ Molinos El Pirata
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Minas
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Sport Huancayo 2
0–2
L
4 Sep
@ Comerciantes
1–5
L
22 Aug
vs Deportivo Binacional
7–1
W
15 Aug
@ Minas
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Comercio and Ayacucho FC.
What is the prediction for Union Comercio vs Ayacucho FC?
Our pick is Union Comercio to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Union Comercio vs Ayacucho FC?
On our numbers Union Comercio have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ayacucho FC 13%.
How many goals will there be in Union Comercio vs Ayacucho FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Comercio vs Ayacucho FC?
Our predicted score is Union Comercio 1–0 Ayacucho FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Union Comercio vs Ayacucho FC?
Union Comercio vs Ayacucho FC (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
