Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
2.00Odds
Picks by market
ResultGIL Vicente to win ✗64% · @1.40
Double chanceGIL Vicente or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @2.00
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 14.59
União Santarém vs GIL Vicente: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
União Santarém welcome GIL Vicente to Campo Cha das Padeiras for a Taça De Portugal fixture on Wednesday 14 October (19:00 WAT).
Current form
União Santarém, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Lusitano Évora 1911, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
GIL Vicente, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Moreirense, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give União Santarém 1.7 xG, GIL Vicente 3.3 xG – a total near 5.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 88% and GG at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – União Santarém 12%, draw 25%, GIL Vicente 64%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: União Santarém 1–3 GIL Vicente. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
União Santarém12%fair 8.54 · @7.00
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.60
GIL Vicente64%fair 1.57 · @1.40
5.00Expected goals
1.70União Santarém xG
3.30GIL Vicente xG
66%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–37%
1–26%
2–36%
1–46%
2–25%
2–45%
From our goals model: União Santarém 1.7 – 3.3 GIL Vicente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GIL Vicente to win✗
64%
1.57
1.40
Double chance
GIL Vicente or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
GIL Vicente (draw no bet)
84%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
GIL Vicente -1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
First team to score
GIL Vicente to score first
66%
1.53
–
Half-time result
GIL Vicente ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GIL Vicente / FT GIL Vicente✗
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
7%
14.59
–
Recent results
União Santarém – last 6
WWWLLD
9 Oct
vs Lusitano Évora 1911
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs Merelinense
5–0
W
12 Sep
@ Louletano
2–1
W
4 Sep
vs Caldas
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ CF Os Belenenses
0–5
L
14 Aug
vs Oliveirense
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
GIL Vicente – last 6
WDLLDW
9 Oct
@ Moreirense
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Maritimo
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Benfica
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Academico Viseu
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Famalicao
0–0
D
24 Aug
vs Casa Pia
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União Santarém and GIL Vicente.
What is the prediction for União Santarém vs GIL Vicente?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win União Santarém vs GIL Vicente?
On our numbers União Santarém have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 25% and GIL Vicente 64%.
How many goals will there be in União Santarém vs GIL Vicente?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União Santarém vs GIL Vicente?
Our predicted score is União Santarém 1–3 GIL Vicente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is União Santarém vs GIL Vicente?
União Santarém vs GIL Vicente (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Cha das Padeiras.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
