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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chattanooga v New York City II: numbers & prediction

MLS Next Pro · USA · Finley Stadium
3–1
FT
Chattanooga 65%Draw 19%New York City II 16% Expected goals 2.43 – 1.16
84%
Betarazi pick

Chattanooga or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Chattanooga to win @ 1.67 – our chance 65% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultChattanooga to win ✓65% · @1.67
Double chanceChattanooga or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58

Chattanooga vs New York City II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chattanooga welcome New York City II to Finley Stadium for a MLS Next Pro fixture on Sunday 18 October (22:00 WAT). In the table, Chattanooga are 2nd, among the top four, on 56 points after 28 matches; New York City II are 6th (upper half) with 47.

Current form

Chattanooga, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chicago Fire II, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

New York City II, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Philadelphia Union II, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Jun 2026) it ended New York City II 1–1 Chattanooga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chattanooga 2.4 xG, New York City II 1.2 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chattanooga 65%, draw 19%, New York City II 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Chattanooga or draw (84%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: Chattanooga to win @1.67 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 65%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Chattanooga or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chattanooga 2–1 New York City II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chattanooga65%fair 1.55 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @3.75
New York City II16%fair 6.34 · @3.90
3.59Expected goals
2.43Chattanooga xG
1.16New York City II xG
66%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Chattanooga 2.4 – 1.2 New York City II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChattanooga to win ✓65%1.551.67 ▲
Double chanceChattanooga or draw ✓84%1.191.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.511.40
Draw no betChattanooga (draw no bet) ✓80%1.24–
Asian handicapChattanooga -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
First team to scoreChattanooga to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultChattanooga ahead at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chattanooga / FT Chattanooga ✓43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.58–

Recent results

Chattanooga – last 6

WWWWLD
20 Sep@ Chicago Fire II1–0W
13 Sepvs Atlanta United II4–1W
10 Sep@ Huntsville City2–1W
30 Augvs Carolina Core5–2W
24 Aug@ Crown Legacy1–3L
15 Aug@ Toronto II2–2D
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

New York City II – last 6

DWWLLW
20 Sep@ Philadelphia Union II1–1D
13 Sepvs Connecticut FC1–0W
8 Sepvs New York RB II4–2W
2 Sep@ Inter Miami II2–4L
29 Aug@ Toronto II0–2L
22 Augvs New England II2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Jun 2026New York City II v Chattanooga1–1
Chattanooga vs New York City II head-to-head page →

MLS Next Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew II2817011+648
2New England II2816012+548
3New York City II2816012+647
4Connecticut FC2816012+746
5New York RB II2815013+1046
6Philadelphia Union II2814014-343
7Toronto II2813015-839
8FC Cincinnati II287021-3020

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chattanooga vs New York City II?

Our pick is Chattanooga or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Chattanooga vs New York City II?

On our numbers Chattanooga have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and New York City II 16%.

How many goals will there be in Chattanooga vs New York City II?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chattanooga vs New York City II?

Our predicted score is Chattanooga 2–1 New York City II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Chattanooga vs New York City II?

Chattanooga vs New York City II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Finley Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.