Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWaterhouse to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceWaterhouse or draw ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.73
Waterhouse vs Treasure Beach: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:05 WAT, Monday 28 September: Waterhouse v Treasure Beach in the Premier League, played at Waterhouse Mini Stadium. In the table, Waterhouse are 2nd, among the top four, on 18 points after 9 matches; Treasure Beach are 13th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Waterhouse, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Humble Lions, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Treasure Beach, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tivoli Gardens, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Waterhouse 1–2 Treasure Beach.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Waterhouse 2.5 xG, Treasure Beach 1.5 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Waterhouse 56%, draw 22%, Treasure Beach 22%.
Lower-risk option: Waterhouse or draw (78%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Waterhouse or draw (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waterhouse 2–1 Treasure Beach. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Waterhouse56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Treasure Beach22%fair 4.59 · @3.50
4.00Expected goals
2.46Waterhouse xG
1.54Treasure Beach xG
65%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–27%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Waterhouse 2.5 – 1.5 Treasure Beach expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Waterhouse vs Treasure Beach?
Our pick is Waterhouse or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Waterhouse vs Treasure Beach?
On our numbers Waterhouse have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Treasure Beach 22%.
How many goals will there be in Waterhouse vs Treasure Beach?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waterhouse vs Treasure Beach?
Our predicted score is Waterhouse 2–1 Treasure Beach, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Waterhouse vs Treasure Beach?
Waterhouse vs Treasure Beach (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 02:05 (West Africa Time) at Waterhouse Mini Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
