Delfin SC 21%Draw 24%Independiente del Valle 55%Expected goals 0.53 – 1.14
79%
Betarazi pick
Independiente del Valle or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Independiente del Valle to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗22% · fair 4.65
Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Delfin SC welcome Independiente del Valle to Estadio Jocay for a Copa Ecuador fixture on Thursday 29 October (01:00 WAT).
Current form
Delfin SC, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Orense SC, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Independiente del Valle, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Universidad Catolica, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Independiente del Valle 3–2 Delfin SC. The last 2 head-to-heads: Delfin SC 0 wins, Independiente del Valle 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Delfin SC 0.5 xG, Independiente del Valle 1.1 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Delfin SC 21%, draw 24%, Independiente del Valle 55%.
Lower-risk option: Independiente del Valle or draw (79%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Independiente del Valle to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Independiente del Valle or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Delfin SC 0–1 Independiente del Valle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Delfin SC21%fair 4.81 · @3.70
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Independiente del Valle55%fair 1.83 · @1.95
1.67Expected goals
0.53Delfin SC xG
1.14Independiente del Valle xG
43%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–122%
0–019%
0–212%
1–111%
1–010%
1–26%
From our goals model: Delfin SC 0.5 – 1.1 Independiente del Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.83
Draw no bet
Independiente del Valle (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Delfin SC +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Independiente del Valle to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✓
What is the prediction for Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle?
Our pick is Independiente del Valle or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle?
On our numbers Delfin SC have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independiente del Valle 55%.
How many goals will there be in Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle?
Our predicted score is Delfin SC 0–1 Independiente del Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle?
Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle (Copa Ecuador) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jocay.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
