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Independiente del Valle v Delfin SC: numbers & prediction

Copa Ecuador · Ecuador · Estadio Banco Guayaquil
Independiente del Valle 71%Draw 21%Delfin SC 8% Expected goals 2.01 – 0.54
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓71% · @1.29
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓92% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11% · fair 9.46

Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Delfin SC travel to face Independiente del Valle on Friday 6 November in the Copa Ecuador, with Estadio Banco Guayaquil the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT.

Current form

Independiente del Valle, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over LDU de Quito, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Delfin SC, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Deportivo Cuenca, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Oct 2026) it ended Delfin SC 0–3 Independiente del Valle. The last 3 head-to-heads: Independiente del Valle 3 wins, Delfin SC 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Independiente del Valle 2.0 xG, Delfin SC 0.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente del Valle 71%, draw 21%, Delfin SC 8%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (68%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente del Valle 2–0 Delfin SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Independiente del Valle71%fair 1.41 · @1.29
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @5.30
Delfin SC8%fair 12.94 · @9.50
2.55Expected goals
2.01Independiente del Valle xG
0.54Delfin SC xG
48%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–016%
1–016%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Independiente del Valle 2.0 – 0.5 Delfin SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓71%1.411.29
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓92%1.081.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.921.75
Draw no betIndependiente del Valle (draw no bet) ✓90%1.11–
Asian handicapIndependiente del Valle -1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.19
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.871.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.55 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.22
First team to scoreIndependiente del Valle to score first ✓73%1.38–
Half-time resultIndependiente del Valle ahead at half-time ✗51%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle ✗47%2.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11%9.46–

Recent results

Independiente del Valle – last 6

WWDLWW
1 Novvs LDU de Quito2–0W
29 Oct@ Delfin SC3–0W
23 Octvs Universidad Catolica0–0D
18 Oct@ Macara0–1L
10 Octvs Aucas2–1W
25 Sep@ Gualaceo SC2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Delfin SC – last 6

WLLWWD
31 Octvs Deportivo Cuenca3–1W
29 Octvs Independiente del Valle0–3L
25 Oct@ Orense SC0–4L
18 Octvs Manta FC4–2W
9 Octvs Mushuc Runa SC3–2W
20 Sep@ Tecnico Universitario1–1D
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Oct 2026Delfin SC v Independiente del Valle0–3
15 Aug 2026Independiente del Valle v Delfin SC3–2
22 Apr 2026Delfin SC v Independiente del Valle0–1
Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC?

On our numbers Independiente del Valle have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Delfin SC 8%.

How many goals will there be in Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC?

Our predicted score is Independiente del Valle 2–0 Delfin SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC?

Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC (Copa Ecuador) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.