Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
NG
Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 54% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWaalwijk to win ✗64% · @1.55
Double chanceWaalwijk or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗32% · fair 3.11
Barendrecht vs Waalwijk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 27 October the KNVB Beker brings Barendrecht against Waalwijk at Sports Centre de Bongerd. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Barendrecht, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kozakken Boys, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Waalwijk, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with De Graafschap, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Barendrecht, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Waalwijk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barendrecht 0.1 xG, Waalwijk 0.9 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barendrecht 15%, draw 21%, Waalwijk 64%.
Lower-risk option: Waalwijk or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Not both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Waalwijk to win (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barendrecht 0–1 Waalwijk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barendrecht15%fair 6.51 · @5.00
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @4.00
Waalwijk64%fair 1.56 · @1.55
1.00Expected goals
0.13Barendrecht xG
0.87Waalwijk xG
46%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–037%
0–132%
0–214%
1–05%
0–34%
1–14%
From our goals model: Barendrecht 0.1 – 0.9 Waalwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Waalwijk to win✗
64%
1.56
1.55
Double chance
Waalwijk or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Waalwijk (draw no bet)
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Barendrecht +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
First team to score
Waalwijk to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
32%
3.11
–
Recent results
Barendrecht – last 6
WWLWWW
24 Oct
@ Kozakken Boys
1–0
W
17 Oct
vs AFC Amsterdam
4–1
W
10 Oct
@ De Treffers
0–4
L
3 Oct
vs Sparta Rotterdam II
3–2
W
26 Sep
@ Almere City II
4–1
W
22 Sep
@ HHC
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Waalwijk – last 6
DDLDLW
23 Oct
@ De Graafschap
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs FC Volendam
1–1
D
9 Oct
@ Heracles
0–3
L
3 Oct
vs Emmen
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Roda
0–2
L
18 Sep
vs MVV
6–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barendrecht and Waalwijk.
What is the prediction for Barendrecht vs Waalwijk?
Our pick is Waalwijk to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Barendrecht vs Waalwijk?
On our numbers Barendrecht have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Waalwijk 64%.
How many goals will there be in Barendrecht vs Waalwijk?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barendrecht vs Waalwijk?
Our predicted score is Barendrecht 0–1 Waalwijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Barendrecht vs Waalwijk?
Barendrecht vs Waalwijk (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Sports Centre de Bongerd.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Excelsior '311
ADO Den Haag1
FC Eindhoven5
FC Volendam3
Helmond Sport3
Willem II4
Kloetinge0
Cambuur2
Rijnsburgse Boys3
Den Bosch5
Roda1
De Graafschap0
Telstar0
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Koninklijke HFC0
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