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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Excelsior Maassluis v Heerenveen: numbers & prediction

KNVB Beker · Netherlands · Sportpark Dijkpolder

Excelsior Maassluis

WWWWW
0–2
FT

Heerenveen

WWLWD
Excelsior Maassluis 14%Draw 18%Heerenveen 68% Expected goals 0.44 – 1.56
68%
Betarazi pick

Heerenveen to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultHeerenveen to win ✓68% · @1.25
Double chanceHeerenveen or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.77

Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 28 October the KNVB Beker brings Excelsior Maassluis against Heerenveen at Sportpark Dijkpolder. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT.

Current form

Excelsior Maassluis, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over EVV, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Heerenveen, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over ADO Den Haag, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Excelsior Maassluis, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for Heerenveen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Excelsior Maassluis 0.4 xG, Heerenveen 1.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Excelsior Maassluis 14%, draw 18%, Heerenveen 68%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Heerenveen to win (68%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Excelsior Maassluis 0–1 Heerenveen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Excelsior Maassluis14%fair 7.40 · @10.00
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @5.50
Heerenveen68%fair 1.46 · @1.25
2.00Expected goals
0.44Excelsior Maassluis xG
1.56Heerenveen xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–121%
0–216%
0–014%
1–19%
0–39%
1–27%

From our goals model: Excelsior Maassluis 0.4 – 1.6 Heerenveen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHeerenveen to win ✓68%1.461.25
Double chanceHeerenveen or draw ✓86%1.161.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.911.70
Draw no betHeerenveen (draw no bet) ✓84%1.20–
Asian handicapHeerenveen -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreHeerenveen to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Heerenveen / FT Heerenveen ✗40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%13.77–

Recent results

Excelsior Maassluis – last 6

WWWWWW
24 Octvs EVV1–0W
17 Oct@ Zwaluwen2–0W
10 Octvs TOGB3–2W
3 Oct@ Vvsb3–2W
26 Sepvs Blauw Geel1–0W
22 Sep@ Sportlust '462–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Heerenveen – last 6

WWLWDL
24 Oct@ ADO Den Haag3–2W
16 Octvs Excelsior4–0W
9 Oct@ PSV Eindhoven0–2L
19 Sep@ Sparta Rotterdam4–0W
13 Sepvs Telstar0–0D
6 Sepvs AZ Alkmaar2–3L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Excelsior Maassluis and Heerenveen.

Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen head-to-head page →

More KNVB Beker predictions

League hub
FT Sparta Rotterdam2 Fortuna Sittard2 Pens 2–3 162%1.91X23%3.40215%3.60 1XSparta Rotterdam or draw 85%@1.25 ✓
FT SC Genemuiden3 Dordrecht2 118%6.00X18%4.60264%1.40 1.4–2.6xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.55 ✓
FT MVV0 Excelsior3 115%6.00X21%4.50264%1.40 2Excelsior to win 64%@1.40 ✓
FT Quick Boys4 Eemdijk0 173%1.20X18%6.00210%12.00 2.3–0.7xG 1Quick Boys to win 73%@1.20 ✓
FT VVV Venlo0 Vitesse2 143%2.10X21%3.60237%2.90 12Either team to win 79%@1.25 ✓
FT Vvsb4 EVV0 167%1.50X21%4.20213%5.00 2.0–0.7xG 1Vvsb to win 67%@1.50 ✓
FT PEC Zwolle1 FC OSS2 170%1.33X18%4.75212%8.50 1PEC Zwolle to win 70%@1.33 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen?

Our pick is Heerenveen to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen?

On our numbers Excelsior Maassluis have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Heerenveen 68%.

How many goals will there be in Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen?

Our predicted score is Excelsior Maassluis 0–1 Heerenveen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen?

Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark Dijkpolder.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.