Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.67 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUS Chaouia to win ✗68% · @1.50
Double chanceUS Chaouia or draw ✓90% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓68% · fair 1.46
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.67
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗26% · fair 3.91
US Chaouia vs Khroub: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 2 October the Ligue 2 brings US Chaouia against Khroub. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, US Chaouia are 12th, lower half, on 11 points after 9 matches; Khroub are 9th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
US Chaouia, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to NC Magra, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Khroub, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over USM Annaba, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Feb 2026) it ended US Chaouia 1–0 Khroub.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give US Chaouia 1.4 xG, Khroub 0.3 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – US Chaouia 68%, draw 22%, Khroub 10%.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.67 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was US Chaouia to win (68%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: US Chaouia 1–0 Khroub. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
US Chaouia68%fair 1.47 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.40
Khroub10%fair 10.51 · @6.50
1.71Expected goals
1.42US Chaouia xG
0.29Khroub xG
32%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–026%
2–018%
0–018%
3–09%
1–18%
2–15%
From our goals model: US Chaouia 1.4 – 0.3 Khroub expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is US Chaouia to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win US Chaouia vs Khroub?
On our numbers US Chaouia have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Khroub 10%.
How many goals will there be in US Chaouia vs Khroub?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 32% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for US Chaouia vs Khroub?
Our predicted score is US Chaouia 1–0 Khroub, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is US Chaouia vs Khroub?
US Chaouia vs Khroub (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
