Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓66% · fair 1.51
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓24% · fair 4.17
Koléa vs El Bayadh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Koléa v El Bayadh in the Ligue 2. In the table, Koléa are 14th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 8 matches; El Bayadh are 15th (in the drop zone) with 4. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Koléa, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to RC Kouba, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
El Bayadh, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with GC Mascara, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours El Bayadh, collecting 0.5 points per game to 0.0 for Koléa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Koléa 1.3 xG, El Bayadh 0.4 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Koléa 63%, draw 25%, El Bayadh 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Koléa 1–0 El Bayadh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Koléa63%fair 1.59 · @1.65
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.25
El Bayadh12%fair 8.38 · @5.00
1.72Expected goals
1.34Koléa xG
0.38El Bayadh xG
34%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–024%
0–018%
2–016%
1–19%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Koléa 1.3 – 0.4 El Bayadh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Koléa to win✓
63%
1.59
1.65
Double chance
Koléa or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
–
Draw no bet
Koléa (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Koléa -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Koléa to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Koléa / FT Koléa✓
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
24%
4.17
–
Recent results
Koléa – last 6
LLLLLL
19 Sep
vs RC Kouba
0–3
L
8 May
vs Hussein Dey
1–3
L
1 May
@ WA Tlemcen
0–2
L
10 Apr
@ MC Saida
0–2
L
1 Apr
vs Béchar Djedid
1–3
L
27 Mar
@ RC Kouba
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
El Bayadh – last 6
DLDDLL
26 Sep
vs GC Mascara
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Sidi Benali
0–1
L
5 Jun
@ Mostaganem
2–2
D
20 May
vs JS Saoura
0–0
D
8 May
@ Khenchela
1–2
L
17 Apr
vs Paradou AC
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Koléa and El Bayadh.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Koléa vs El Bayadh?
On our numbers Koléa have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and El Bayadh 12%.
How many goals will there be in Koléa vs El Bayadh?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 34% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Koléa vs El Bayadh?
Our predicted score is Koléa 1–0 El Bayadh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Koléa vs El Bayadh?
Koléa vs El Bayadh (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.