Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultJapan U23 to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceJapan U23 or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Uzbekistan U23 vs Japan U23: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Japan U23 travel to face Uzbekistan U23 on Wednesday 30 September in the Asian Games, with Osaka Nagai Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:30 WAT. In the table, Uzbekistan U23 are 1st on 9 points after 3 matches; Japan U23 are 1st with 9. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Uzbekistan U23, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Saudi Arabia U23, at home. 2.6 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Japan U23, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Korea DPR U23, at home. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Uzbekistan U23 1.1 xG, Japan U23 2.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Uzbekistan U23 18%, draw 22%, Japan U23 60%.
Lower-risk option: Japan U23 or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Japan U23 or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Uzbekistan U23 1–2 Japan U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Uzbekistan U2318%fair 5.66 · @4.00
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.25
Japan U2360%fair 1.66 · @1.75
3.25Expected goals
1.10Uzbekistan U23 xG
2.15Japan U23 xG
58%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Uzbekistan U23 1.1 – 2.1 Japan U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Japan U23 to win✗
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Japan U23 or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Japan U23 (draw no bet)
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Japan U23 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Japan U23 to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Japan U23 ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Japan U23 / FT Japan U23✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Uzbekistan U23 – last 5
WWWWW
25 Sep
vs Saudi Arabia U23
3–0
W
22 Sep
@ Vietnam U23
2–0
W
18 Sep
@ Kuwait U23
2–0
W
15 Sep
vs Philippines U23
5–1
W
8 Jun
@ USA U21
1–0
W
2.6Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Japan U23 – last 4
WWWW
26 Sep
vs Korea DPR U23
1–0
W
23 Sep
vs Thailand U23
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Kyrgyz Republic U23
7–0
W
16 Sep
vs Hong Kong U23
2–0
W
3.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uzbekistan U23 and Japan U23.
What is the prediction for Uzbekistan U23 vs Japan U23?
Our pick is Japan U23 or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Uzbekistan U23 vs Japan U23?
On our numbers Uzbekistan U23 have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Japan U23 60%.
How many goals will there be in Uzbekistan U23 vs Japan U23?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uzbekistan U23 vs Japan U23?
Our predicted score is Uzbekistan U23 1–2 Japan U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Uzbekistan U23 vs Japan U23?
Uzbekistan U23 vs Japan U23 (Asian Games) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Osaka Nagai Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Korea Republic U232
China PR U231