Value bet: AS Gabes to win @ 3.60 – our chance 32% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSfax Railways to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Sfax Railways vs AS Gabes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Sfax Railways v AS Gabes in the Ligue 2. In the table, Sfax Railways are 18th, lower half, on 8 points after 7 matches; AS Gabes are 27th (in the drop zone) with 2.
Current form
Sfax Railways, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over CS Chebba, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
AS Gabes, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mégrine, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sfax Railways, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.0 for AS Gabes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sfax Railways 1.4 xG, AS Gabes 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sfax Railways 44%, draw 23%, AS Gabes 32%.
Price worth noting: AS Gabes to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sfax Railways 1–1 AS Gabes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sfax Railways44%fair 2.25 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
AS Gabes32%fair 3.11 · @3.60
2.60Expected goals
1.43Sfax Railways xG
1.17AS Gabes xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sfax Railways 1.4 – 1.2 AS Gabes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sfax Railways to win✗
44%
2.25
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Sfax Railways (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
AS Gabes +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Sfax Railways to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sfax Railways / FT Sfax Railways✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.25
–
Recent results
Sfax Railways – last 6
WWDWWD
26 Sep
@ CS Chebba
2–1
W
11 May
vs AS Agareb
2–1
W
1 May
@ ES Hammam-Sousse
2–2
D
27 Apr
@ M'saken
3–1
W
13 Apr
@ BS Bouhajla
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ EM Mahdia
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
AS Gabes – last 6
LLLLLL
26 Sep
vs Mégrine
1–2
L
13 May
vs Stade Tunisien
0–1
L
8 May
@ AS Soliman
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ US Monastirienne
0–2
L
10 Apr
vs US Ben Guerdane
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Club Africain
0–2
L
0.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sfax Railways and AS Gabes.
What is the prediction for Sfax Railways vs AS Gabes?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sfax Railways vs AS Gabes?
On our numbers Sfax Railways have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AS Gabes 32%.
How many goals will there be in Sfax Railways vs AS Gabes?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sfax Railways vs AS Gabes?
Our predicted score is Sfax Railways 1–1 AS Gabes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sfax Railways vs AS Gabes?
Sfax Railways vs AS Gabes (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
