SAT Moreno 35%Draw 23%Deportivo Metalurgico 41%Expected goals 1.14 – 1.27
60%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo Metalurgico to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Metalurgico to win ✗41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.75
SAT Moreno vs Deportivo Metalurgico: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
SAT Moreno welcome Deportivo Metalurgico for a Torneo Promocional Amateur fixture on Monday 5 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, SAT Moreno are 1st, leading the league, on 33 points after 14 matches; Deportivo Metalurgico are 3rd (among the top four) with 32. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
SAT Moreno, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Metalurgico, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Deportivo Metalurgico, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with SAT Moreno, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Deportivo Metalurgico, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for SAT Moreno.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Sep 2026) it ended Deportivo Metalurgico 1–1 SAT Moreno. The last 3 head-to-heads: SAT Moreno 0 wins, Deportivo Metalurgico 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SAT Moreno 1.1 xG, Deportivo Metalurgico 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SAT Moreno 35%, draw 23%, Deportivo Metalurgico 41%.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Metalurgico to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: SAT Moreno 1–1 Deportivo Metalurgico. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SAT Moreno35%fair 2.84 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Deportivo Metalurgico41%fair 2.42 · @2.70
2.41Expected goals
1.14SAT Moreno xG
1.27Deportivo Metalurgico xG
45%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: SAT Moreno 1.1 – 1.3 Deportivo Metalurgico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Metalurgico to win✗
41%
2.42
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Deportivo Metalurgico (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
SAT Moreno +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Deportivo Metalurgico to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Metalurgico / FT Deportivo Metalurgico✗
What is the prediction for SAT Moreno vs Deportivo Metalurgico?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win SAT Moreno vs Deportivo Metalurgico?
On our numbers SAT Moreno have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deportivo Metalurgico 41%.
How many goals will there be in SAT Moreno vs Deportivo Metalurgico?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SAT Moreno vs Deportivo Metalurgico?
Our predicted score is SAT Moreno 1–1 Deportivo Metalurgico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is SAT Moreno vs Deportivo Metalurgico?
SAT Moreno vs Deportivo Metalurgico (Torneo Promocional Amateur) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
