Wednesday 11 November 2026 15 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shabab Al Sahel v Al Ahed: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Lebanon
0–0
FT

Al Ahed

WDWDD
Shabab Al Sahel 32%Draw 20%Al Ahed 47% Expected goals 0.93 – 1.23
57%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultAl Ahed to win ✗47% · @5.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · fair 1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.08

Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:15 WAT, Friday 30 October: Shabab Al Sahel v Al Ahed in the Premier League. In the table, Shabab Al Sahel are 9th, lower half, on 4 points after 5 matches; Al Ahed are 4th (among the top four) with 9.

Current form

Shabab Al Sahel, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Jwaaya FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Al Ahed, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Reyady Abaseya, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Jun 2026) it ended Al Ahed 4–2 Shabab Al Sahel.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shabab Al Sahel 0.9 xG, Al Ahed 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 57% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shabab Al Sahel 32%, draw 20%, Al Ahed 47%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.75, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shabab Al Sahel 0–1 Al Ahed. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shabab Al Sahel32%fair 3.09 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.75
Al Ahed47%fair 2.11 · @5.50
2.17Expected goals
0.93Shabab Al Sahel xG
1.23Al Ahed xG
42%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Shabab Al Sahel 0.9 – 1.2 Al Ahed expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl Ahed to win ✗47%2.115.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.25–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓58%1.72–
Draw no betAl Ahed (draw no bet)59%1.68–
Asian handicapShabab Al Sahel +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreAl Ahed to score first ✗50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al Ahed / FT Al Ahed ✗25%4.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.08–

Recent results

Shabab Al Sahel – last 6

LLDLWW
25 Oct@ Jwaaya FC0–2L
8 Octvs Tadamon Sour0–1L
2 Jul@ Jwaaya FC0–0D
28 Jun@ Al Ahed2–4L
24 Junvs Reyady Abaseya3–0W
16 Junvs Racing2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Al Ahed – last 6

WDWDDL
23 Octvs Reyady Abaseya1–0W
17 Oct@ Al Hikma1–1D
13 Octvs Al Mabarrah1–0W
9 Oct@ Tripoli SC1–1D
1 Augvs Jwaaya FC2–2D
28 Jul@ Al Nejmeh1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Jun 2026Al Ahed v Shabab Al Sahel4–2
Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Safa5500+1115
2Jwaaya FC6411+813
3Tadamon Sour6312+210
4Al Ahed623109
5Al Nejmeh4220+48
6Al Ansar3210+27
7Tripoli SC6213-17
8Al Hikma6123-45
9Shabab Al Sahel5113-54
10Al Akhaa Al Ahli6114-74
11Shabab Al Ghazieh6114-74
12Reyady Abaseya5023-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed?

On our numbers Shabab Al Sahel have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al Ahed 47%.

How many goals will there be in Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed?

Our predicted score is Shabab Al Sahel 0–1 Al Ahed, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed?

Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.