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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Al Hikma v Tripoli SC: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Lebanon
2–1
FT
Al Hikma 30%Draw 23%Tripoli SC 48% Expected goals 1.03 – 1.40
55%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.73Odds
2

Value bet: Tripoli SC to win @ 2.40 – our chance 48% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultTripoli SC to win ✗48% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.13

Al Hikma vs Tripoli SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Al Hikma welcome Tripoli SC for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 31 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Al Hikma are 8th, lower half, on 5 points after 6 matches; Tripoli SC are 7th (lower half) with 7. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Al Hikma, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Al Mabarrah, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Tripoli SC, last 4: LWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tadamon Sour, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Tripoli SC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Al Hikma.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al Hikma 1.0 xG, Tripoli SC 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al Hikma 30%, draw 23%, Tripoli SC 48%.
  • Price worth noting: Tripoli SC to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Hikma 1–1 Tripoli SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al Hikma30%fair 3.36 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Tripoli SC48%fair 2.10 · @2.40
2.44Expected goals
1.03Al Hikma xG
1.40Tripoli SC xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–29%

From our goals model: Al Hikma 1.0 – 1.4 Tripoli SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTripoli SC to win ✗48%2.102.40 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.29–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.81–
Draw no betTripoli SC (draw no bet) ✗62%1.62–
Asian handicapAl Hikma +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreTripoli SC to score first ✗53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tripoli SC / FT Tripoli SC ✗27%3.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12%8.13–

Recent results

Al Hikma – last 6

LDLLLW
24 Octvs Al Mabarrah0–1L
17 Octvs Al Ahed1–1D
13 Oct@ Jwaaya FC0–3L
8 Oct@ Al Ansar1–2L
3 Julvs Al Nejmeh0–1L
29 Junvs Tadamon Sour4–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Tripoli SC – last 4

LWWD
23 Octvs Tadamon Sour1–2L
18 Oct@ Al Mabarrah3–0W
13 Octvs Al Akhaa Al Ahli2–0W
9 Octvs Al Ahed1–1D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Al Hikma and Tripoli SC.

Al Hikma vs Tripoli SC head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Safa5500+1115
2Jwaaya FC6411+813
3Tadamon Sour6312+210
4Al Ahed623109
5Al Nejmeh4220+48
6Al Ansar3210+27
7Tripoli SC6213-17
8Al Hikma6123-45
9Shabab Al Sahel5113-54
10Al Akhaa Al Ahli6114-74
11Shabab Al Ghazieh6114-74
12Reyady Abaseya5023-32

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al Hikma vs Tripoli SC?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Al Hikma vs Tripoli SC?

On our numbers Al Hikma have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tripoli SC 48%.

How many goals will there be in Al Hikma vs Tripoli SC?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al Hikma vs Tripoli SC?

Our predicted score is Al Hikma 1–1 Tripoli SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Al Hikma vs Tripoli SC?

Al Hikma vs Tripoli SC (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.