Value bet: Llapi to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFeronikeli to win ✗43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35
Feronikeli vs Llapi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Wednesday 14 October: Feronikeli v Llapi in the Superliga. In the table, Feronikeli are 7th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Llapi are 9th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Feronikeli, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Drenica Skënderaj, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Llapi, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ballkani, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Feronikeli 1.6 xG, Llapi 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Feronikeli 43%, draw 21%, Llapi 36%.
Price worth noting: Llapi to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.90). Most likely score in line with that pick: Feronikeli 2–1 Llapi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Feronikeli43%fair 2.35 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Llapi36%fair 2.79 · @3.00
2.96Expected goals
1.56Feronikeli xG
1.40Llapi xG
52%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Feronikeli 1.6 – 1.4 Llapi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Feronikeli to win✗
43%
2.35
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Feronikeli (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Llapi +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Feronikeli to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Feronikeli / FT Feronikeli✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.35
–
Recent results
Feronikeli – last 6
DWLWLL
10 Oct
@ Drenica Skënderaj
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Vushtrria
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Prishtina
0–3
L
9 Sep
vs Drita
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Ballkani
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Malisheva
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Llapi – last 6
LWLLWL
9 Oct
vs Ballkani
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Shkendija
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Drenica Skënderaj
0–4
L
14 Sep
vs Malisheva
0–4
L
8 Sep
@ Vushtrria
4–0
W
5 Sep
vs Dukagjini
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Feronikeli and Llapi.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Feronikeli vs Llapi?
On our numbers Feronikeli have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Llapi 36%.
How many goals will there be in Feronikeli vs Llapi?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Feronikeli vs Llapi?
Our predicted score is Feronikeli 2–1 Llapi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Feronikeli vs Llapi?
Feronikeli vs Llapi (Superliga) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
