Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Saham to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSaham to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceSaham or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.54
Saham vs Sur: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Professional League brings Saham against Sur. Kick-off: 14:05 WAT. In the table, Saham are 5th, upper half, on 10 points after 7 matches; Sur are 12th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Saham, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Al-Shabab, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Sur, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Oman Club, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Mar 2026) it ended Sur 0–0 Saham.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Saham 1.8 xG, Sur 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Saham 62%, draw 22%, Sur 16%.
Lower-risk option: Saham or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Saham to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Saham or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Saham 1–0 Sur. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Saham62%fair 1.62 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Sur16%fair 6.16 · @3.40
2.62Expected goals
1.82Saham xG
0.80Sur xG
46%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Saham 1.8 – 0.8 Sur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Saham or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Saham vs Sur?
On our numbers Saham have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sur 16%.
How many goals will there be in Saham vs Sur?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saham vs Sur?
Our predicted score is Saham 1–0 Sur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Saham vs Sur?
Saham vs Sur (Professional League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:05 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
