Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl-Nahda to win ✓65% · @1.36
Double chanceAl-Nahda or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Al-Nahda vs Sur: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al-Nahda welcome Sur for a Professional League fixture on Monday 19 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Al-Nahda are 1st, leading the league, on 13 points after 5 matches; Sur are 12th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Al-Nahda, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Al Faisaly, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Sur, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Saham, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (31 Mar 2026) it ended Al-Nahda 3–2 Sur. The last 2 head-to-heads: Al-Nahda 2 wins, Sur 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Nahda 2.0 xG, Sur 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Nahda 65%, draw 21%, Sur 14%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al-Nahda to win (65%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Nahda 2–0 Sur. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Nahda65%fair 1.54 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.00
Sur14%fair 7.06 · @7.50
2.86Expected goals
2.03Al-Nahda xG
0.83Sur xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Al-Nahda 2.0 – 0.8 Sur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Al-Nahda to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Al-Nahda vs Sur?
On our numbers Al-Nahda have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sur 14%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Nahda vs Sur?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Nahda vs Sur?
Our predicted score is Al-Nahda 2–0 Sur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Al-Nahda vs Sur?
Al-Nahda vs Sur (Professional League) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
