Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 56% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl-Shabab to win ✓68% · @1.30
Double chanceAl-Shabab or draw ✓90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.40
Al-Shabab vs Smail: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 23 October the Professional League brings Al-Shabab against Smail. Kick-off: 13:50 WAT. In the table, Al-Shabab are 2nd, among the top four, on 12 points after 5 matches; Smail are 11th (lower half) with 6.
Current form
Al-Shabab, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Sohar, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Smail, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al Musannah, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Al-Shabab, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Smail.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended Smail 0–7 Al-Shabab.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Shabab 2.3 xG, Smail 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Shabab 68%, draw 23%, Smail 10%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al-Shabab to win (68%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Shabab 2–0 Smail. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Shabab68%fair 1.48 · @1.30
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @4.33
Smail10%fair 10.43 · @10.00
3.11Expected goals
2.28Al-Shabab xG
0.83Smail xG
56%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Al-Shabab 2.3 – 0.8 Smail expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Al-Shabab to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Al-Shabab vs Smail?
On our numbers Al-Shabab have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Smail 10%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Shabab vs Smail?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Shabab vs Smail?
Our predicted score is Al-Shabab 2–0 Smail, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Al-Shabab vs Smail?
Al-Shabab vs Smail (Professional League) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 13:50 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
