Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl Nasr to win ✗62% · @1.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Al Nasr vs Sur: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:05 WAT, Wednesday 4 November: Al Nasr v Sur in the Professional League. In the table, Al Nasr are 3rd, among the top four, on 12 points after 6 matches; Sur are 12th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Al Nasr, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bahla, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Sur, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Oman Club, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Al Nasr 1–0 Sur.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Nasr 1.8 xG, Sur 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Nasr 62%, draw 19%, Sur 19%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Nasr 2–0 Sur. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Nasr62%fair 1.62 · @1.48
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @3.75
Sur19%fair 5.23 · @5.75
2.73Expected goals
1.85Al Nasr xG
0.88Sur xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Al Nasr 1.8 – 0.9 Sur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al Nasr vs Sur?
On our numbers Al Nasr have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sur 19%.
How many goals will there be in Al Nasr vs Sur?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Nasr vs Sur?
Our predicted score is Al Nasr 2–0 Sur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Al Nasr vs Sur?
Al Nasr vs Sur (Professional League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 14:05 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
