Value bet: Carlos A. Mannucci to win @ 2.35 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCarlos A. Mannucci to win ✗47% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.95
Alianza Universidad vs Carlos A. Mannucci: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Alianza Universidad v Carlos A. Mannucci in the Segunda División, played at Estadio Heraclio Tapia. In the table, Alianza Universidad are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Carlos A. Mannucci are 2nd (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
Alianza Universidad, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Carlos A. Mannucci, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Carlos A. Mannucci, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Alianza Universidad, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Carlos A. Mannucci, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.5 for Alianza Universidad.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Oct 2026) it ended Carlos A. Mannucci 3–1 Alianza Universidad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Universidad 1.1 xG, Carlos A. Mannucci 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Universidad 31%, draw 22%, Carlos A. Mannucci 47%.
Price worth noting: Carlos A. Mannucci to win @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Universidad 1–1 Carlos A. Mannucci. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Universidad31%fair 3.18 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Carlos A. Mannucci47%fair 2.14 · @2.35
2.56Expected goals
1.12Alianza Universidad xG
1.44Carlos A. Mannucci xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Alianza Universidad 1.1 – 1.4 Carlos A. Mannucci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alianza Universidad vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Alianza Universidad vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
On our numbers Alianza Universidad have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Carlos A. Mannucci 47%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Universidad vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Universidad vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
Our predicted score is Alianza Universidad 1–1 Carlos A. Mannucci, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Alianza Universidad vs Carlos A. Mannucci?
Alianza Universidad vs Carlos A. Mannucci (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heraclio Tapia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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