Value bet: Union Comercio to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUnion Comercio to win ✗47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.71
Ayacucho FC vs Union Comercio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the Segunda División brings Ayacucho FC against Union Comercio. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Ayacucho FC are 7th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 16 matches; Union Comercio are 1st (leading the league) with 32. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ayacucho FC, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Union Comercio, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Union Comercio, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Ayacucho FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Union Comercio, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Ayacucho FC.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Oct 2026) it ended Union Comercio 5–0 Ayacucho FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ayacucho FC 1.0 xG, Union Comercio 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ayacucho FC 30%, draw 23%, Union Comercio 47%.
Price worth noting: Union Comercio to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ayacucho FC 0–1 Union Comercio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ayacucho FC30%fair 3.29 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Union Comercio47%fair 2.14 · @2.30
2.33Expected goals
1.00Ayacucho FC xG
1.33Union Comercio xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Ayacucho FC 1.0 – 1.3 Union Comercio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ayacucho FC vs Union Comercio?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Ayacucho FC vs Union Comercio?
On our numbers Ayacucho FC have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Union Comercio 47%.
How many goals will there be in Ayacucho FC vs Union Comercio?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ayacucho FC vs Union Comercio?
Our predicted score is Ayacucho FC 0–1 Union Comercio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Ayacucho FC vs Union Comercio?
Ayacucho FC vs Union Comercio (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
