Value bet: Gagra to win @ 3.50 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRustavi to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Gagra vs Rustavi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gagra welcome Rustavi to David Petriashvili Stadium for a David Kipiani Cup fixture on Tuesday 27 October (17:00 WAT).
Current form
Gagra, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Spaeri, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Rustavi, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Dinamo Tbilisi, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rustavi, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Gagra.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Rustavi 3–0 Gagra. The last 2 head-to-heads: Gagra 1 win, Rustavi 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gagra 1.2 xG, Rustavi 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gagra 33%, draw 23%, Rustavi 44%.
Price worth noting: Gagra to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (77%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gagra 0–1 Rustavi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gagra33%fair 3.04 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Rustavi44%fair 2.29 · @2.00
2.67Expected goals
1.22Gagra xG
1.45Rustavi xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Gagra 1.2 – 1.5 Rustavi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
On our numbers Gagra have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rustavi 44%.
How many goals will there be in Gagra vs Rustavi?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gagra vs Rustavi?
Our predicted score is Gagra 0–1 Rustavi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Gagra vs Rustavi?
Gagra vs Rustavi (David Kipiani Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
