Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMinerva Punjab to win ✓46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.99
Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Churchill Brothers welcome Minerva Punjab to Fatorda Stadium for a Indian Super League fixture on Sunday 25 October (12:30 WAT). In the table, Churchill Brothers are 10th, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; Minerva Punjab are 5th (upper half) with 7.
Current form
Minerva Punjab, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mumbai City, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Churchill Brothers 1.3 xG, Minerva Punjab 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Churchill Brothers 33%, draw 21%, Minerva Punjab 46%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Churchill Brothers 1–1 Minerva Punjab. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Churchill Brothers33%fair 3.04 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.40
Minerva Punjab46%fair 2.19 · @2.05
2.81Expected goals
1.26Churchill Brothers xG
1.55Minerva Punjab xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Churchill Brothers 1.3 – 1.5 Minerva Punjab expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Minerva Punjab to win✓
46%
2.19
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Minerva Punjab (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Churchill Brothers +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Minerva Punjab to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Minerva Punjab / FT Minerva Punjab✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.99
–
Recent results
Churchill Brothers – last 2
LW
18 Oct
vs East Bengal II
0–4
L
11 Oct
vs Mumbai City
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Minerva Punjab – last 6
DWDWWL
19 Oct
vs Mumbai City
1–1
D
14 Oct
vs Odisha
2–1
W
4 Oct
@ ATK Mohun Bagan
0–0
D
30 Sep
@ East Bengal II
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Calcutta Customs
7–0
W
29 Aug
vs Horley Town
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Churchill Brothers and Minerva Punjab.
What is the prediction for Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab?
On our numbers Churchill Brothers have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Minerva Punjab 46%.
How many goals will there be in Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab?
Our predicted score is Churchill Brothers 1–1 Minerva Punjab, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab?
Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab (Indian Super League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Fatorda Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
