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ATK Mohun Bagan v Chennaiyin: numbers & prediction

Indian Super League · India · Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan
1–0
FT
ATK Mohun Bagan 70%Draw 20%Chennaiyin 11% Expected goals 1.60 – 0.40
70%
Betarazi pick

ATK Mohun Bagan to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultATK Mohun Bagan to win ✓70% · @1.25
Double chanceATK Mohun Bagan or draw ✓89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓22% · fair 4.60

ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

ATK Mohun Bagan welcome Chennaiyin to Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan for a Indian Super League fixture on Monday 26 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, ATK Mohun Bagan are 1st, leading the league, on 12 points after 5 matches; Chennaiyin are 8th (lower half) with 5.

Current form

ATK Mohun Bagan, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over SC Delhi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Chennaiyin, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bengaluru, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours ATK Mohun Bagan, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Chennaiyin.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Feb 2026) it ended ATK Mohun Bagan 2–0 Chennaiyin.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ATK Mohun Bagan 1.6 xG, Chennaiyin 0.4 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ATK Mohun Bagan 70%, draw 20%, Chennaiyin 11%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was ATK Mohun Bagan to win (70%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: ATK Mohun Bagan 1–0 Chennaiyin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ATK Mohun Bagan70%fair 1.44 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @4.60
Chennaiyin11%fair 9.41 · @10.00
2.00Expected goals
1.60ATK Mohun Bagan xG
0.40Chennaiyin xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–022%
2–017%
0–014%
3–09%
1–19%
2–17%

From our goals model: ATK Mohun Bagan 1.6 – 0.4 Chennaiyin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultATK Mohun Bagan to win ✓70%1.441.25
Double chanceATK Mohun Bagan or draw ✓89%1.121.05
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.891.67
Draw no betATK Mohun Bagan (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapATK Mohun Bagan -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreATK Mohun Bagan to score first ✓69%1.44–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT ATK Mohun Bagan / FT ATK Mohun Bagan ✗42%2.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓22%4.60–

Recent results

ATK Mohun Bagan – last 6

WLWDDW
16 Oct@ SC Delhi2–1W
12 Oct@ NorthEast United0–1L
8 Octvs East Bengal II1–0W
4 Octvs Minerva Punjab0–0D
29 Sepvs NorthEast United1–1D
23 Sepvs Sreenidi Deccan6–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Chennaiyin – last 6

LDLLDW
17 Oct@ Bengaluru0–2L
10 Oct@ Goa1–1D
10 May@ NorthEast United1–4L
6 May@ Minerva Punjab0–1L
21 Aprvs Mohammedan0–0D
17 Aprvs SC Delhi1–0W
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Feb 2026ATK Mohun Bagan v Chennaiyin2–0
ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin head-to-head page →

Indian Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ATK Mohun Bagan5401+312
2NorthEast United5320+611
3Bengaluru4310+410
4SC Delhi5212+27
5Minerva Punjab4211+17
6East Bengal II3201+66
7Goa412105
8Chennaiyin5122-15
9Kerala Blasters4121-15
10Churchill Brothers4103-63
11Odisha4022-22
12Mumbai City4022-22
13Inter Kashi5014-101

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin?

Our pick is ATK Mohun Bagan to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin?

On our numbers ATK Mohun Bagan have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Chennaiyin 11%.

How many goals will there be in ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin?

Our predicted score is ATK Mohun Bagan 1–0 Chennaiyin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin?

ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin (Indian Super League) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.