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ATK Mohun Bagan v Minerva Punjab: numbers & prediction

Indian Super League · India · Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan
2–1
FT
ATK Mohun Bagan 66%Draw 19%Minerva Punjab 15% Expected goals 1.81 – 0.69
66%
Betarazi pick

ATK Mohun Bagan to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultATK Mohun Bagan to win ✓66% · @1.62
Double chanceATK Mohun Bagan or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.80

ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 31 October: ATK Mohun Bagan v Minerva Punjab in the Indian Super League, played at Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan. In the table, ATK Mohun Bagan are 1st, leading the league, on 12 points after 5 matches; Minerva Punjab are 5th (upper half) with 7.

Current form

ATK Mohun Bagan, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chennaiyin, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Minerva Punjab, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Churchill Brothers, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Minerva Punjab, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for ATK Mohun Bagan.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Oct 2026) it ended ATK Mohun Bagan 0–0 Minerva Punjab.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ATK Mohun Bagan 1.8 xG, Minerva Punjab 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ATK Mohun Bagan 66%, draw 19%, Minerva Punjab 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: ATK Mohun Bagan or draw (85%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was ATK Mohun Bagan to win (66%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: ATK Mohun Bagan 1–0 Minerva Punjab. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ATK Mohun Bagan66%fair 1.52 · @1.62
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.70
Minerva Punjab15%fair 6.71 · @4.60
2.50Expected goals
1.81ATK Mohun Bagan xG
0.69Minerva Punjab xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%

From our goals model: ATK Mohun Bagan 1.8 – 0.7 Minerva Punjab expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultATK Mohun Bagan to win ✓66%1.521.62 ▲
Double chanceATK Mohun Bagan or draw ✓85%1.181.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.65
Draw no betATK Mohun Bagan (draw no bet) ✓82%1.23–
Asian handicapATK Mohun Bagan -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreATK Mohun Bagan to score first67%1.50–
Half-time resultATK Mohun Bagan ahead at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT ATK Mohun Bagan / FT ATK Mohun Bagan ✓41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.80–

Recent results

ATK Mohun Bagan – last 6

WWLWDD
26 Octvs Chennaiyin1–0W
16 Oct@ SC Delhi2–1W
12 Oct@ NorthEast United0–1L
8 Octvs East Bengal II1–0W
4 Octvs Minerva Punjab0–0D
29 Sepvs NorthEast United1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Minerva Punjab – last 6

WDWDWW
25 Oct@ Churchill Brothers3–2W
19 Octvs Mumbai City1–1D
14 Octvs Odisha2–1W
4 Oct@ ATK Mohun Bagan0–0D
30 Sep@ East Bengal II1–0W
27 Sep@ Calcutta Customs7–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Oct 2026ATK Mohun Bagan v Minerva Punjab0–0
ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab head-to-head page →

Indian Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ATK Mohun Bagan5401+312
2NorthEast United5320+611
3Bengaluru4310+410
4SC Delhi5212+27
5Minerva Punjab4211+17
6East Bengal II3201+66
7Goa412105
8Chennaiyin5122-15
9Kerala Blasters4121-15
10Churchill Brothers4103-63
11Odisha4022-22
12Mumbai City4022-22
13Inter Kashi5014-101

More Indian Super League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab?

Our pick is ATK Mohun Bagan to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab?

On our numbers ATK Mohun Bagan have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Minerva Punjab 15%.

How many goals will there be in ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab?

Our predicted score is ATK Mohun Bagan 1–0 Minerva Punjab, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab?

ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab (Indian Super League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.