Value bet: NorthEast United to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNorthEast United to win ✓61% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 5 November the Indian Super League brings Churchill Brothers against NorthEast United. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Churchill Brothers are 10th, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; NorthEast United are 2nd (among the top four) with 11.
Current form
Churchill Brothers, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Minerva Punjab, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
NorthEast United, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bengaluru, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours NorthEast United, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Churchill Brothers.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Churchill Brothers 1.0 xG, NorthEast United 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Churchill Brothers 23%, draw 16%, NorthEast United 61%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: NorthEast United to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Churchill Brothers 1–1 NorthEast United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Churchill Brothers23%fair 4.44 · @3.50
Draw16%fair 6.08 · @3.50
NorthEast United61%fair 1.64 · @1.83
2.86Expected goals
0.99Churchill Brothers xG
1.87NorthEast United xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: Churchill Brothers 1.0 – 1.9 NorthEast United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NorthEast United to win✓
61%
1.64
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Draw no bet
NorthEast United (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Churchill Brothers +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.14
First team to score
NorthEast United to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
NorthEast United ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NorthEast United / FT NorthEast United✓
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Churchill Brothers – last 3
LLW
25 Oct
vs Minerva Punjab
2–3
L
18 Oct
vs East Bengal II
0–4
L
11 Oct
vs Mumbai City
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
NorthEast United – last 6
DDWWLD
30 Oct
vs Bengaluru
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ Odisha
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Kerala Blasters
4–1
W
12 Oct
vs ATK Mohun Bagan
1–0
W
5 Oct
@ East Bengal II
2–7
L
29 Sep
@ ATK Mohun Bagan
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Churchill Brothers and NorthEast United.
What is the prediction for Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United?
On our numbers Churchill Brothers have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 16% and NorthEast United 61%.
How many goals will there be in Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United?
Our predicted score is Churchill Brothers 1–1 NorthEast United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United?
Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United (Indian Super League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
