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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

AEK Larnaca v Akritas: numbers & prediction

Cup · Cyprus · AEK Arena
2–2
FTAET 3–2

Akritas

DLDLW
AEK Larnaca 80%Draw 14%Akritas 5% Expected goals 2.99 – 0.77
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultAEK Larnaca to win ✗80% · @1.06
Double chanceAEK Larnaca or draw ✓95% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.62

AEK Larnaca vs Akritas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Wednesday 21 October: AEK Larnaca v Akritas in the Cup, played at AEK Arena.

Current form

AEK Larnaca, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Aris, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Akritas, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Iraklis Yerolakkou, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours AEK Larnaca, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Akritas.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended AEK Larnaca 3–0 Akritas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AEK Larnaca 3.0 xG, Akritas 0.8 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 47% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – AEK Larnaca 80%, draw 14%, Akritas 5%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: AEK Larnaca 3–0 Akritas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AEK Larnaca80%fair 1.24 · @1.06
Draw14%fair 7.02 · @13.00
Akritas5%fair 18.84 · @21.00
3.75Expected goals
2.99AEK Larnaca xG
0.77Akritas xG
47%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
3–010%
2–18%
3–18%
4–08%
1–07%

From our goals model: AEK Larnaca 3.0 – 0.8 Akritas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAEK Larnaca to win ✗80%1.241.06
Double chanceAEK Larnaca or draw ✓95%1.06–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.90–
Draw no betAEK Larnaca (draw no bet)94%1.07–
Asian handicapAEK Larnaca -1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72%1.381.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓52%1.93–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
First team to scoreAEK Larnaca to score first78%1.29–
Half-time resultAEK Larnaca ahead at half-time ✗62%1.62–
Half-time / full-timeHT AEK Larnaca / FT AEK Larnaca ✗59%1.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10%9.62–

Recent results

AEK Larnaca – last 6

DWWLWW
18 Oct@ Aris1–1D
12 Octvs Omonia Aradippou1–0W
18 Sep@ Omonia 29is Maiou2–1W
13 Sepvs Pafos0–1L
6 Sep@ Nea Salamis4–1W
29 Augvs Apoel Nicosia3–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Akritas – last 6

DLDLWW
17 Octvs Iraklis Yerolakkou0–0D
10 Oct@ PAEEK1–2L
19 Sepvs ASIL Lysi1–1D
11 Sep@ Ermis0–2L
14 Aug@ Enosis3–2W
1 Mayvs Ethnikos Achna1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Mar 2026AEK Larnaca v Akritas3–0
AEK Larnaca vs Akritas head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca vs Akritas?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Akritas?

On our numbers AEK Larnaca have a 80% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Akritas 5%.

How many goals will there be in AEK Larnaca vs Akritas?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AEK Larnaca vs Akritas?

Our predicted score is AEK Larnaca 3–0 Akritas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is AEK Larnaca vs Akritas?

AEK Larnaca vs Akritas (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at AEK Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.