CD Marathon 61%Draw 24%Olancho 15%Expected goals 1.59 – 0.64
61%
Betarazi pick
CD Marathon to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultCD Marathon to win ✓61% · @1.67
Double chanceCD Marathon or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.82
CD Marathon vs Olancho: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Olancho travel to face CD Marathon on Friday 16 October in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Yankel Rosenthal the venue – the ball rolls at 00:15 WAT. In the table, CD Marathon are 3rd, among the top four, on 28 points after 14 matches; Olancho are 7th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
CD Marathon, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Lobos Upnfm, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Olancho, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atletico Independiente, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Olancho 1–1 CD Marathon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Marathon 1.6 xG, Olancho 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Marathon 61%, draw 24%, Olancho 15%.
Lower-risk option: CD Marathon or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CD Marathon to win (61%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Marathon 1–0 Olancho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Marathon61%fair 1.64 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.50
Olancho15%fair 6.65 · @4.20
2.23Expected goals
1.59CD Marathon xG
0.64Olancho xG
43%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: CD Marathon 1.6 – 0.6 Olancho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Marathon vs Olancho?
Our pick is CD Marathon to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win CD Marathon vs Olancho?
On our numbers CD Marathon have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Olancho 15%.
How many goals will there be in CD Marathon vs Olancho?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Marathon vs Olancho?
Our predicted score is CD Marathon 1–0 Olancho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is CD Marathon vs Olancho?
CD Marathon vs Olancho (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
