Olancho 57%Draw 23%Estrella Roja 21%Expected goals 1.61 – 0.84
79%
Betarazi pick
Olancho or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultOlancho to win ✗57% · @1.75
Double chanceOlancho or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64
Olancho vs Estrella Roja: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estrella Roja travel to face Olancho on Saturday 24 October in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Olancho are 7th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Estrella Roja are 5th (upper half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Olancho, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CD Marathon, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olancho 1.6 xG, Estrella Roja 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olancho 57%, draw 23%, Estrella Roja 21%.
Lower-risk option: Olancho or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Olancho or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olancho 1–0 Estrella Roja. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olancho57%fair 1.76 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.50
Estrella Roja21%fair 4.85 · @4.00
2.45Expected goals
1.61Olancho xG
0.84Estrella Roja xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Olancho 1.6 – 0.8 Estrella Roja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olancho to win✗
57%
1.76
1.75
Double chance
Olancho or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.60
Draw no bet
Olancho (draw no bet)
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Estrella Roja +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Olancho to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olancho / FT Olancho✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
Olancho – last 6
LDDDDL
16 Oct
@ CD Marathon
1–2
L
12 Oct
vs Atletico Independiente
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Génesis
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Real Espana
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Atlético Choloma
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ CD Motagua
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Estrella Roja
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olancho and Estrella Roja.
What is the prediction for Olancho vs Estrella Roja?
Our pick is Olancho or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Olancho vs Estrella Roja?
On our numbers Olancho have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estrella Roja 21%.
How many goals will there be in Olancho vs Estrella Roja?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olancho vs Estrella Roja?
Our predicted score is Olancho 1–0 Estrella Roja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Olancho vs Estrella Roja?
Olancho vs Estrella Roja (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
