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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lobos Upnfm v Génesis: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse
4–3
FT
Lobos Upnfm 50%Draw 22%Génesis 28% Expected goals 1.43 – 0.97
54%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultLobos Upnfm to win ✓50% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.73

Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Génesis travel to face Lobos Upnfm on Saturday 31 October in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Lobos Upnfm are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Génesis are 8th (lower half) with 15.

Current form

Lobos Upnfm, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to CD Olimpia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Génesis, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Atlético Choloma, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Lobos Upnfm, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Génesis.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Lobos Upnfm 0–1 Génesis. The last 2 head-to-heads: Lobos Upnfm 1 win, Génesis 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lobos Upnfm 1.4 xG, Génesis 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lobos Upnfm 50%, draw 22%, Génesis 28%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lobos Upnfm 1–0 Génesis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lobos Upnfm50%fair 2.00 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Génesis28%fair 3.53 · @3.00
2.40Expected goals
1.43Lobos Upnfm xG
0.97Génesis xG
45%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
2–09%
0–09%
2–19%
0–19%

From our goals model: Lobos Upnfm 1.4 – 1.0 Génesis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLobos Upnfm to win ✓50%2.002.10 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.81–
Draw no betLobos Upnfm (draw no bet) ✓64%1.57–
Asian handicapGénesis +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.851.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗90%1.11–
First team to scoreLobos Upnfm to score first54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lobos Upnfm / FT Lobos Upnfm ✗28%3.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.73–

Recent results

Lobos Upnfm – last 6

LWDWWL
26 Octvs CD Olimpia0–1L
18 Oct@ Atletico Independiente4–0W
11 Octvs CD Marathon0–0D
18 Sep@ Platense FC2–0W
13 Sepvs Atlético Choloma1–0W
7 Sep@ Real Espana0–2L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Génesis – last 6

LLLDLW
24 Oct@ Atlético Choloma1–3L
18 Octvs Estrella Roja1–2L
10 Octvs CD Olimpia0–1L
19 Sepvs Olancho0–0D
13 Sep@ CD Motagua0–1L
7 Sep@ Juticalpa3–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026Lobos Upnfm v Génesis0–1
2 Mar 2026Génesis v Lobos Upnfm0–2
Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis?

On our numbers Lobos Upnfm have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Génesis 28%.

How many goals will there be in Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis?

Our predicted score is Lobos Upnfm 1–0 Génesis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis?

Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.