Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.33
CD Motagua vs CD Marathon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CD Marathon travel to face CD Motagua on Monday 2 November in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles the venue – the ball rolls at 00:15 WAT. In the table, CD Motagua are 4th, among the top four, on 28 points after 14 matches; CD Marathon are 3rd (among the top four) with 28. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
CD Motagua, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to LD Alajuelense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
CD Marathon, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Alianza, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended CD Marathon 1–1 CD Motagua. The last 3 head-to-heads: CD Motagua 0 wins, CD Marathon 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Motagua 1.4 xG, CD Marathon 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Motagua 45%, draw 22%, CD Marathon 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Motagua 1–1 CD Marathon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Motagua45%fair 2.24 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
CD Marathon34%fair 2.96 · @3.00
2.57Expected goals
1.40CD Motagua xG
1.17CD Marathon xG
47%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 1.4 – 1.2 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Motagua vs CD Marathon?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win CD Motagua vs CD Marathon?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CD Marathon 34%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs CD Marathon?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs CD Marathon?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 1–1 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs CD Marathon?
CD Motagua vs CD Marathon (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
