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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Olancho v Lobos Upnfm: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas

Olancho

WDLDD
0–0
FT
Olancho 60%Draw 24%Lobos Upnfm 17% Expected goals 1.81 – 0.85
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.39 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.39Odds

Picks by market

ResultOlancho to win ✗60% · @1.65
Double chanceOlancho or draw ✓83% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Wednesday 4 November: Olancho v Lobos Upnfm in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas. In the table, Olancho are 7th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Lobos Upnfm are 6th (upper half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Olancho, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Platense FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Lobos Upnfm, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Génesis, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Lobos Upnfm, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Olancho.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended Lobos Upnfm 1–1 Olancho. The last 2 head-to-heads: Olancho 0 wins, Lobos Upnfm 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Olancho 1.8 xG, Lobos Upnfm 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Olancho 60%, draw 24%, Lobos Upnfm 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Olancho or draw (83%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.63.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (69%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olancho 1–0 Lobos Upnfm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Olancho60%fair 1.68 · @1.65
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.58
Lobos Upnfm17%fair 6.02 · @4.25
2.66Expected goals
1.81Olancho xG
0.85Lobos Upnfm xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Olancho 1.8 – 0.8 Lobos Upnfm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOlancho to win ✗60%1.681.65
Double chanceOlancho or draw ✓83%1.201.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.63
Draw no betOlancho (draw no bet)78%1.28–
Asian handicapOlancho -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.321.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.66
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.461.39
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.12
First team to scoreOlancho to score first ✗63%1.58–
Half-time resultOlancho ahead at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Olancho / FT Olancho ✗38%2.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

Olancho – last 6

WDLDDD
1 Novvs Platense FC4–1W
24 Octvs Estrella Roja3–3D
16 Oct@ CD Marathon1–2L
12 Octvs Atletico Independiente1–1D
19 Sep@ Génesis0–0D
13 Sepvs Real Espana1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Lobos Upnfm – last 6

WLWDWW
31 Octvs Génesis4–3W
26 Octvs CD Olimpia0–1L
18 Oct@ Atletico Independiente4–0W
11 Octvs CD Marathon0–0D
18 Sep@ Platense FC2–0W
13 Sepvs Atlético Choloma1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Aug 2026Lobos Upnfm v Olancho1–1
24 Mar 2026Lobos Upnfm v Olancho2–1
Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.

Who will win Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm?

On our numbers Olancho have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lobos Upnfm 17%.

How many goals will there be in Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm?

Our predicted score is Olancho 1–0 Lobos Upnfm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm?

Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.