Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:00 WAT, Wednesday 4 November: Olancho v Lobos Upnfm in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas. In the table, Olancho are 7th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Lobos Upnfm are 6th (upper half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Olancho, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Platense FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Lobos Upnfm, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Génesis, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Lobos Upnfm, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Olancho.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended Lobos Upnfm 1–1 Olancho. The last 2 head-to-heads: Olancho 0 wins, Lobos Upnfm 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olancho 1.8 xG, Lobos Upnfm 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olancho 60%, draw 24%, Lobos Upnfm 17%.
Lower-risk option: Olancho or draw (83%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.63.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (69%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olancho 1–0 Lobos Upnfm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olancho60%fair 1.68 · @1.65
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.58
Lobos Upnfm17%fair 6.02 · @4.25
2.66Expected goals
1.81Olancho xG
0.85Lobos Upnfm xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Olancho 1.8 – 0.8 Lobos Upnfm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm?
On our numbers Olancho have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lobos Upnfm 17%.
How many goals will there be in Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm?
Our predicted score is Olancho 1–0 Lobos Upnfm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm?
Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.